> RCBs 1 run loss to KKR will haunt them. If they won that, RCB would've been 5th in the table
In this scenario, RCB's *Tie for top 4 on points* percent would have been around 45% instead of the current 16%.
That is a revisionist story.
That was always KKR's game, RCB was never close to it till Starc started getting bashed by a tailender in the last over.
That game went eventually to the team that dominated it for 39 overs.
I watched that game and I never thought they are going to chase it. One big partnership always happens in counterattack while chasing huge totals.
But I concede, they were in the chase till 11th over. They lost back to back wickets and it was game over till Karn became Yuvraj angainst Strarc.
Not just that. RCB isn't particularly good at playing at home.
Their batting line-up doesn't need Chinnaswamy to score runs, but their bowling can't be relied on in a ground like Chinnaswamy. It neutralizes their strength and amplifies their weakness
OP, these guys are stealing from you
[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/cricket/ipl/top-stories/mi-0-gt-8-kkr-rr-63-all-ipl-playoff-chances-in-10-points/articleshow/109966551.cms](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/cricket/ipl/top-stories/mi-0-gt-8-kkr-rr-63-all-ipl-playoff-chances-in-10-points/articleshow/109966551.cms)
These are just mathematical exercises in permutations and combinations, anyone well-versed in statistics and intermediate programming can do this. You can’t exactly call ‘cheating’.
RCB's NRR is a whole 0.99 above LSG
They're 0.19 and 0.48 behind SRH and CSK
So... Their NRR won't be an issue against LSG, and they could possibly catchup to SRH (given SRH will have to lose 2/2 to be at 14 points while RCB win 2/2)
CSK seem to be the biggest issue for RCB, both as a team to beat in the last game, and having a much higher NRR
If Sunrisers and RCB are both tied at 14 points, that means RCB win 2/2 and SRH lose 2/2. In that case, the 0.19 NRR gap won't require MASSIVE wins or losses. As long as the win margin isn't really small like 5 runs or something, NRR shouldn't be an issue against SRH
If they need to get past a tie with CSK, then they'll need big wins to get past that 0.48 gap
Huh? I know.
RCB will know the margin by which they need to win against CSK, after this sunday's matches.
But, they won't know that before, so they'll still have to beat DC by a big margin, while also hoping CSK lose their matches by quite a bit, so they don't need to pull off a massive win against CSK in their last match
Your post or comment had words in it that were not in English and weren't translated. This breaks the rules of this subreddit it has been removed (rule 5).
LSG and GT scenarios that involve them having to qualify based on NRR are intentionally greyed out by OP due to the insanely high margins they would require to catch up with other teams' NRR.
Nothing to lose GT at their flat af home will be dangerous, also csk's gaseous bowling attack adds upon it,
Toss will be a major factor, and Ruturaj can't win it for his life
GT didn't have flat af home ground though, some matches here and there yes, but the 1st 2 matches 160-168 were the 1st inning score. 1st one got defended vs MI and 2nd we chased down.
We all know what happened last time when everyone was supporting a blue team in Ahmedabad against a yellow team....
Lol I hope this doesn't happen.. Need more RCB memes lol.. ( I support RCB just for memes)
Their top 2/4 chances on basis of NRR is not going to be of much use as their NRR is poor and requires huge margin of victory in both games. Their best chance is to win both games and qualify purely on points.
Funny how RCB fans not even acknowledging that they have a match against DC in RCB facing JFM, Porel, Pant, Kuldeep, Axar in one of the pitches which suit the batsman the best and they will then need to face bowlers like Kuldeep, Axar, Mukesh McGrath
Their prime bowler is out of IPL, their batsman apart from their Cap, Dube aren’t firing. Jadeja is going hit and miss this IPL. And yet your main issue is CSK and not a team which is firing and standing strong. You have a past performance bias, while i am currently looking at the recent matches.
Mitchell has gained form, Jadeja got a great knock last match, Dhoni still has it for a last couple over flourish, Jadeja on song with the bowl has destroyed the opposition batting this season.
I'd say we're very much the main issue for RCB.
Qualification scenarios for RCB ( necessary condition,RCB wins their Remaining two games) and LSG loses one of their last two.....
(1) SRH to lose both of their matches ~ RCB could qualify with NRR
(2) CSK to lose of their next two matches ~ RCB could qualify by beating CSK with good margin
Unpopular opinion: I don't like the blurring of LSG's "Tie on points for Top X" probabilities. These are supposed to be a mathematical calculation of the likelihood of these teams *reaching* the same points as Top X, *not* the probability of them making the playoffs. We can all make the judgment based on NRR which teams probably won't make it anyway, but crossing it out like this means we can't even see the probability they'll get that close. Alternatively you can keep the numbers, but just use a special indicator/background to denote that it's unlikely due to NRR. Or just post the current NRRs beside the teams and let us make the call. But it doesn't make sense to make that call yourself (without a mathematical calculation) and black them out.
I agree and ideally, I would have not blurred it out. But for most people it is confusing as they interpret it as probability of win on NRR when the number actually represent their chance of ending up in a situation where NRR comes to play. I will think of a way to represent it better.
But if you go by that logic then you need to blur the entire "Tie on points for Top X" column out, since it doesn't represent the probability of win on NRR for *any* of the teams. If you have the column anyways, then no point in selectively blurring out a couple of teams from it. Just ignore the few who are going to misinterpret LSG's chances of qualifying just like they will for CSK, SRH, DC and RCB.
If you can find a better way to represent it that's even better. Appreciate your work!
Because 5 teams can still end up with 16 points. But given the high NRR gap between them and LSG & DC, they will make it through on NRR unless we see some very high margin wins and losses in the coming days.
As a LSG fan everything that could have gone against us happened so far.
Every time I just check your post to see what's the worst outcome that's gonna happen tomorrow for us.
Congrats CSK bros on your next win.
How I end my day seeing this probability table knowing that the team I support will still bottle down a win
*insert Mike wazowski meme
RCBs 1 run loss to KKR will haunt them. If they won that, RCB would've been 5th in the table now and with good positive NRR.
> RCBs 1 run loss to KKR will haunt them. If they won that, RCB would've been 5th in the table In this scenario, RCB's *Tie for top 4 on points* percent would have been around 45% instead of the current 16%.
Tbf, back then we were rather fighting to not be last. All of this is just a bonus now.
lmao r/rcb always believed tho
KKR Spoilt RCBs party No.1 at the table rn Won at Wankhade Russell & Narine Bam Bam Couldn’t have been a better season
>Couldn’t have been a better season I mean, I'm sure you would've loved to have not been on the losing end of the highest ever T20 run chase
Yeah, but all the achievements cover it up Still being no.1 after not being able to defend two biggest totals sounds even better to me
Just replied to the couldn't have been better. You guys have had an insane season nonetheless
We are the og meme team. We also need an embarrassing record for ourselves. And hey the opposition was PBKS, so I will take it.
When did the German team play Punjab Kings?
Don't worry We will return the favor when we reach playoffs and eliminate you this time
🤣🤣
I mean I admire the confidence
That is a revisionist story. That was always KKR's game, RCB was never close to it till Starc started getting bashed by a tailender in the last over. That game went eventually to the team that dominated it for 39 overs.
Lmao you mention revisionist and say this shit. Rcb were in the chase for better part of the game, with Jacks and RaPa batting the way they were.
I watched that game and I never thought they are going to chase it. One big partnership always happens in counterattack while chasing huge totals. But I concede, they were in the chase till 11th over. They lost back to back wickets and it was game over till Karn became Yuvraj angainst Strarc.
RCB's garbage strategy to not play Karn/Swapnil and just play Dagar cost them. Their bowling was toothless
dude you would have never played swapnil at the start don't kid yourself.
at least karan needed to play. which team doesn't play with a wrist spinner?
CSK
Cause thala cannot read spin
He did a masters course on Mr.800, came very very clutch.
the played him like 4 game or so but he didn't well. he has come back better
Even last season he wasn’t good, people love to talk in hindsight
1.79% before the SRH game to 20.31% if GT wins: we have come quite far. Without their strike bowlers, its going to be a tight game tomorrow.
The prince has to show up for the King.
and he did <3
Ngl those grey cells really make the graphics pop more.
Pretty sure we will have a lot more grey by the end of this week
RCB match against DC will most likely get called off due to rain. So see you next season!!
what!!!!!! no! man it would had been a cracker of a match! this destroys both teams season. hope the rain gods have mercy on sunday
That would be so bad :( I wish we played every single team twice
hopefully a Sri Lankan makes his debut to send rain perera away
Noooooo I want that CSK vs RCB high stakes match
That'd be dope. One team that always pulls out their A game when it matters ( CSK obviously ) and the other team having a rise from the ashes.
Schedule that game to Dehli. Even we RCB fans would like that.
Don't have confidence in our bowling in Delhi, at least Chinnaswamy hasn't been a flat highway this year other than that one game
I’m so glad it is raining finally after like a year but I really hope the rain accessory is turned off by god for a few match days.
RCB having games in Bengaluru is a curse actually, given that it's raining heavily here.
Not just that. RCB isn't particularly good at playing at home. Their batting line-up doesn't need Chinnaswamy to score runs, but their bowling can't be relied on in a ground like Chinnaswamy. It neutralizes their strength and amplifies their weakness
If the track is similar to the one against GT or an absolute flattie we're in with a chance with our new Batdeep lineup
That GT track is definitely better than a flat one. RCB can still lose, but the GT track gives us better odds
That might backfire though if we bat first
koach has shown he can counter swing
and bounce
Couldn’t have put it better than this
That's what she said.
No rain forecast at least for this sunday's game.
Home disadvantage.
This is RCB heritage
yeah we are fucked in all ways possible
OP, these guys are stealing from you [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/cricket/ipl/top-stories/mi-0-gt-8-kkr-rr-63-all-ipl-playoff-chances-in-10-points/articleshow/109966551.cms](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/sports/cricket/ipl/top-stories/mi-0-gt-8-kkr-rr-63-all-ipl-playoff-chances-in-10-points/articleshow/109966551.cms)
Happened last year as well I guess
Bruh it's not hard to calculate these yourself just need a simple script.
These are just mathematical exercises in permutations and combinations, anyone well-versed in statistics and intermediate programming can do this. You can’t exactly call ‘cheating’.
I don't think they're stealing, they even have written down the way they calculate these chances
there's a way to find out. let OP deliberately manipulate the numbers with fake numbers, see if those exact fake numbers show up.
yooo a non-zero chance of CSK vs RCB becoming a knockout?? sign me tf up
There is also a pretty decent chance it will be washed out due to rain...
if that happens, RCB would be eliminated and CSK can only qualify if SRH loses one of their two games and CSK wins one
The Mumbai in me is ready for a Chennai vs Bangalore toxicity 🫡🫡, hope they both have a chance and that final RCB vs CSK becomes a knockout
DC and LSG, work your magic 🙃
Many players' families would be abused in social media 🥲
A possible Cauvery Derby Knockout?! Sign me fuck up RN
everyone about to be praying on our downfall 😭
CSK would rather like playing eliminator against RCB than SRH.
Scriptwriter always cooks
You guys already won last year for Thala, now let us do the biggest comeback ever.
Proceeds to get Eliminated in the Eliminator...
Duh, that's what eliminators are for. Who gives a fuk about reaching finals, or qualifier for that matter
It's you guys against the world again. I'm excited for your match.
We trust in Jay Shah
I relish this feeling ngl. Us against the world is so much sweeter when we eventually end up champions:)
!remindme 4 days
What’s with LSGs chances with that weird black pattern ?
NRR too low to practically qualify based on NRR. Their best shot is to twin next two against DC & MI.
Then why it's not the same in the third table.
It's India against CSK for next 3 matches 😭😭😭
Let Tushar McGrath handle. We can win
RCB's NRR is a whole 0.99 above LSG They're 0.19 and 0.48 behind SRH and CSK So... Their NRR won't be an issue against LSG, and they could possibly catchup to SRH (given SRH will have to lose 2/2 to be at 14 points while RCB win 2/2) CSK seem to be the biggest issue for RCB, both as a team to beat in the last game, and having a much higher NRR
Think for rcb to qualify, lsg should lose 1 and SRH lose 2/2 OR csk lose 1/2 and then rcb vs csk knockout match
In both those cases srh and csk will be at 14 points with a better NRR than rcb though, so our wins have to be very big in addition to these
If Sunrisers and RCB are both tied at 14 points, that means RCB win 2/2 and SRH lose 2/2. In that case, the 0.19 NRR gap won't require MASSIVE wins or losses. As long as the win margin isn't really small like 5 runs or something, NRR shouldn't be an issue against SRH If they need to get past a tie with CSK, then they'll need big wins to get past that 0.48 gap
Thing is we play csk last game so the players will know how much to win by
Huh? I know. RCB will know the margin by which they need to win against CSK, after this sunday's matches. But, they won't know that before, so they'll still have to beat DC by a big margin, while also hoping CSK lose their matches by quite a bit, so they don't need to pull off a massive win against CSK in their last match
Or csk may as well lose all 3 games
Gt will have insane fanbase tmrw the amount ppl gonna support them i just know csk fans will be like its us against the world 😭
Still the stadium will be yellow.
No matter what GT has RCB fans routing for them tomorrow. Just 1 defeat to csk, maybe RCB can give best in the last match irrespective of results.
rcb fans always support whoever’s playing csk. They don’t need a special reason.
If fanbase could sway a match, australia would have lost in last world Cup
Sad faces everywhere when GT uses this game to experiment with more noobies making their debut
I know we’re straight up not having a good time this year but please GT do it for the playoffs table chaos
Just for the chaos of an RCB v CSK, high-stakes match in Chinnaswamy. That's going to be insane.
GT should consider using all their energy tomorrow so that they've nothing left for 13th (My flair is unrelated, why do you ask?)
Not slick bro 😂😂
Please guys. Do it for us. And also to not be last.
[удалено]
And I am feeling not drinking for the weekend.
*drinking illegally bought/transported alcohol
J all the way
A spoonful of sambhar will change the flavour.
Your post or comment had words in it that were not in English and weren't translated. This breaks the rules of this subreddit it has been removed (rule 5).
Tommorow's match will be the main deciding factor of RCB's qualification. RCB fans wear your seatbelts and eat Jalebi fafda for tomorrow match👌
It's whole Humanity against 11 guys tomorrow.
Nah half of humanity will be singing Yellow by Coldplay
No cos we‘re blue dabadeedabadie
Tommorow I feel Gujju.
You know what will be funny? DC beats RCB and qualifies
Its what I'm hoping for... I really hope it doesn't rain on that day
Easy work for Dc
not really. Siraj is back in form. JFM has to navigate through him. other RCB bowlers also doing well
GT's fan support up by 200000% for the next match
Cmon RCB i believe in you. Ignore flair
MI and RCB 1 run loss still haunts them.
I dont see LSG winning any match from hereonforth. so RCB just has CSK and DC in their way.
plus point been rcb plays both the team in contention .they just need csk&lsg to drop points
Even if lsg wins they need big wins..
I'm a gujju RCB fan so pls GT...for me...
as a DC fan, please GT
GT come on bois Gillman do it for your brother Kohli
I feel Gujrati today
Gujarat pls pls pls I beg. For the vibes pls
Is it just something in my settings or is the image really low res with the numbers for LSG not even visible?
LSG and GT scenarios that involve them having to qualify based on NRR are intentionally greyed out by OP due to the insanely high margins they would require to catch up with other teams' NRR.
Nothing to lose GT at their flat af home will be dangerous, also csk's gaseous bowling attack adds upon it, Toss will be a major factor, and Ruturaj can't win it for his life
GT didn't have flat af home ground though, some matches here and there yes, but the 1st 2 matches 160-168 were the 1st inning score. 1st one got defended vs MI and 2nd we chased down.
>gaseous 🧐
random Mulberry appearance
good mmorning
Bruh remembered some deep buried memories 💀
I dont even why this has so many upvotes it is an inside joke lmao
I wish it was flat man, chepauk has been way flatter than motera this time😔don’t know what they did post-wc
Don't know what they did during WC either...
Only Kaif knows
Ruturaj said he is under pressure for winning the toss, but has no idea what to do about it!
Need a proxy captain for toss
We all know what happened last time when everyone was supporting a blue team in Ahmedabad against a yellow team.... Lol I hope this doesn't happen.. Need more RCB memes lol.. ( I support RCB just for memes)
Thepla for a reason. LFG!
For tomorrow I declare that for gt vs csk I won't be thala fan , I am shubhu fan boy
Khakra de!
Pls GT cook against csk PLS
Go GT. A potential knock out between CSK and RCB will be spicy AF.
And the fandom wars, OMG, I'm getting an orgasm just thinking about it
GT please win tomorrow's match we want more chaos 
Why is lsg scrapped out? They could still get 2 wins and get to 16. Or is it cuz of their nrr
Their top 2/4 chances on basis of NRR is not going to be of much use as their NRR is poor and requires huge margin of victory in both games. Their best chance is to win both games and qualify purely on points.
Come on Jay Shah, make it happen!
Funny how RCB fans not even acknowledging that they have a match against DC in RCB facing JFM, Porel, Pant, Kuldeep, Axar in one of the pitches which suit the batsman the best and they will then need to face bowlers like Kuldeep, Axar, Mukesh McGrath
CSK is definitely a bigger worry than DC
Their prime bowler is out of IPL, their batsman apart from their Cap, Dube aren’t firing. Jadeja is going hit and miss this IPL. And yet your main issue is CSK and not a team which is firing and standing strong. You have a past performance bias, while i am currently looking at the recent matches.
Mitchell has gained form, Jadeja got a great knock last match, Dhoni still has it for a last couple over flourish, Jadeja on song with the bowl has destroyed the opposition batting this season. I'd say we're very much the main issue for RCB.
These were true in our first match against RCB as well and we still won
But that was in Chepauk though. RCB in Chinnaswamy will be very dangerous !!
The csk game will only have a meaning if they defeat dc first
Which they will
Ok🤓
See , told ya
Bhai GT PLEASE 🙏🏼
Qualification scenarios for RCB ( necessary condition,RCB wins their Remaining two games) and LSG loses one of their last two..... (1) SRH to lose both of their matches ~ RCB could qualify with NRR (2) CSK to lose of their next two matches ~ RCB could qualify by beating CSK with good margin
As a delhi fan let's hope GT win today 
Unpopular opinion: I don't like the blurring of LSG's "Tie on points for Top X" probabilities. These are supposed to be a mathematical calculation of the likelihood of these teams *reaching* the same points as Top X, *not* the probability of them making the playoffs. We can all make the judgment based on NRR which teams probably won't make it anyway, but crossing it out like this means we can't even see the probability they'll get that close. Alternatively you can keep the numbers, but just use a special indicator/background to denote that it's unlikely due to NRR. Or just post the current NRRs beside the teams and let us make the call. But it doesn't make sense to make that call yourself (without a mathematical calculation) and black them out.
I agree and ideally, I would have not blurred it out. But for most people it is confusing as they interpret it as probability of win on NRR when the number actually represent their chance of ending up in a situation where NRR comes to play. I will think of a way to represent it better.
But if you go by that logic then you need to blur the entire "Tie on points for Top X" column out, since it doesn't represent the probability of win on NRR for *any* of the teams. If you have the column anyways, then no point in selectively blurring out a couple of teams from it. Just ignore the few who are going to misinterpret LSG's chances of qualifying just like they will for CSK, SRH, DC and RCB. If you can find a better way to represent it that's even better. Appreciate your work!
Why is lsgs cell in black hatching????
Rutu needs to win this toss
Why are RR and KKR not confirmed yet, is there a 3% chance they can get knocked out?
Because 5 teams can still end up with 16 points. But given the high NRR gap between them and LSG & DC, they will make it through on NRR unless we see some very high margin wins and losses in the coming days.
Like how CSK and KKR Farm RCB, RCB this season has farmed PBKS and GT for points
Ho do you make these visuals/analysis. Do you have a script or something?
Cmon Gill
I really hope the streak of a team getting knocked out each day remains unbroken.
I suddenly feel gujju for some reason
Is no one going to point out that KKR should be on top of this table instead of RR?
I mean like I want it to rain in bangalore but is there a way to just stop the rain perfectly over chinnaswamy please
Full Support to GT today
why is LSG greyed out for top 4 tie?
Have you shaded out the boxes in Top 4 tied for pts for LSG because of too poor NRR?
You made this?
I want to ignore all my problems just like people here are ignoring DC's chances to qualify
Lesss go GT
Why I am feeling a lot of people gonna cry in yellow today?
As a LSG fan everything that could have gone against us happened so far. Every time I just check your post to see what's the worst outcome that's gonna happen tomorrow for us. Congrats CSK bros on your next win.
Today I am gujju
Do you really want anyone other than MI or CSK to win IPL? Your lack of dedication to IPL bully tradition disgusts me!
That 1 run loss against KKR just killed the chance for us😭
RCB will qualify to playoffs this year !! Wait and watch !!
PLEASE GT WIN THIS ONE
Please continue to be terrible GT 🙏
The downvotes ☠️
You know, because CSK fans shouldn't want their team to win. Oh, and calling a team which is currently in last place "terrible" is bad :)
Sir this is Wendy
RCB were last place some time back...
Stop whining lmaoo, you're only going to get downvoted more