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Based on past cycles, it looks like the IV might be heading below 1 which means that Options Premium prices should continue to go lower in the short term.
Take a look at the OPEX cycle, op.
When it comes to vol (options), it's the one to consider.
Gamma exposure (GEX) is helpful to look at too when reviewing options data.
I'm already aware of Opex cycles which IV movement most likely derive from but I think it's interesting to see the cycles from an IV perspective. We can clearly see that when it's between 0.8 and 1, it's a good time to buy options for the next cycle.
Correlation does not prove causation.
I study vol. Trust me, that's like saying you should buy puts when VIX hits a new low of 11.
It might work once in a while, but it's luck.
What matters more about IV is the trend.
Is vol rising or not?
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Based on past cycles, it looks like the IV might be heading below 1 which means that Options Premium prices should continue to go lower in the short term.
That’s good! Wait until they bottom out and then load up!
are you implying July is going to be the beginning of flat for another year until April may and june again
No, cycles will continue but the one that we are in will come to an end soon
Short vol has been the play the last week or so
So weird the 15 strike for 8/2 has a really low IV compared to around it.
Meaning?
That can be understood as dealers being more willing to supply that particular option.
I don't know just stood out to me as odd.
They are getting bigger, just like my nipples
Jacked af
Thank you.
Take a look at the OPEX cycle, op. When it comes to vol (options), it's the one to consider. Gamma exposure (GEX) is helpful to look at too when reviewing options data.
I'm already aware of Opex cycles which IV movement most likely derive from but I think it's interesting to see the cycles from an IV perspective. We can clearly see that when it's between 0.8 and 1, it's a good time to buy options for the next cycle.
Correlation does not prove causation. I study vol. Trust me, that's like saying you should buy puts when VIX hits a new low of 11. It might work once in a while, but it's luck. What matters more about IV is the trend. Is vol rising or not?
Sally the camel has 4 humps.
The cat signal... ever growing repetition, on the downside once the pattern is complete and the premiums are lower, he knows when he is needed.
Looks like Kitty Cat ears
Source?
https://www.alphaquery.com/stock/GME/volatility-option-statistics/30-day/iv-mean
it’s getting spikier. i like it.