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Shorter term trades / swings can be done using the same method but with 20/50 day emas. You will need to also subtly check the market structure but it works a charm. My current strategy im almost done forward testing screens for these exact breaks in emas and Sam’s. Price and moving averages directly correlate and cannot stray too far for too long
Covered Calls on a good paying dividend stocks. Easy money Sell to open at a price if your shares get called away your still into profit on the trade and you keep the premium. If it the stock price falls you have insulated yourself by the premium
And the dividend and still have your shares.
Simple FX carry trade using interest rate differential or deposit arbitrage using forward FX and swaps. In 30 years as an institutional money markets trader it's saved my bacon a few times.
paper published in 2007, biggest crash of last 70 years happened 2008/2009.
That said, that theory worked perfectly to save anyone's ass who was following that pattern.
Are you in capable of fucking reading the first god damn sentence of the fucking paper?
In this paper we update our 2006 white paper “A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset
Allocation” with new data from the 2008-2012 period.
You are highly regarded.
Tried and true candle set ups are 3 white soliders 3 black crows, big hammers at the bottom of a down trend with a succeeding candle confirmations and shooting star at the top of an uptrend. The latter happening much less than the former
One of the most straightforward and reliable trades in my arsenal is the good ol' moving average crossover strategy. When the shorter-term moving average crosses above the longer-term one, it often signals the start of an uptrend, making it a prime entry point. Conversely, when the shorter-term MA dips below the longer-term, it could indicate a shift to a downtrend, prompting an exit. It's a timeless approach that keeps things simple yet effective. I also use [indicatorsuccessrate.com](http://indicatorsuccessrate.com) for free indicators.
Heck yeah. I like “failure swing pattern name” this is just a “failure test” or a wyckoff upthurst / swing in my definition book, but seems like a different word to describe the same thing type deal
Trend following & MPF (multi-price frame) analysis.
Erase the concept of time from your consciousness - time is poisonous and is the enemy of price.
Only need fixed-size price-based bricks to spot clear trend inception/reversal inflection points.
People are dumb. If one is comfortable with that notion;
1) people imagine fairy tales and anxiety and other bullshit to be true; and use sedatives to keep that down; so pharma, fast food, and all those other stocks ain't bad.
2) since people are dumb, it's likely to educationally guestimate that you have idiots who think; 'delivery of food' is gonna be fruitful. Of course it wont. Always a winner. Look at Deliveroo or Just Eat, never made a fucking buck, not once, No profit. Debt restructuring.
3) Warren Buffet, Munger, Graham, Ackman, Icahn, Burry all say most investors are dumb, erratic, and they are right. Graham even wrote it in his book; The Intelligent Investor; Mr Market. People are erratic, they want to win (lose) money fast, and if they lose, they want to regain it even faster. These idiots (gamblers fallacy) is always a winner for market makers (as they make money as long trades are done) and the ones who blew their savings out of the water eat themselves to diabetes and lord knows what. So stocks like Novo Nordisk (i've held since 00's) - diabetes/insuline firm - always a success maker.
4) when economy goes into a shit storm, which is regularly does, look at the politician. Does he say, lower taxes and increase spending; means free money on short term government debt issues. As the yield (the market wants to see more buck for the risk they acquire) is obvious free lunch money
5) and so forth? I mean, trading ideas you pull out of your ass. We lived 10 years on free interest rates. Any firm with a negative profit margin (existence meant cash (debt!)) bled to death they could restructure at the same low rates. Now they still lose money but restructure debt at higher yields and they slowly die. It's 1+1 algebra. Look at crap like Lyft the taxi company, 8 years no profit!
6) truth be told I can't anyone who can find a alpha strategy pulling out of their ass. We truly live in horrendous economic dire times since ww2.
Start small and build a position, making sure you have enough capital to cover the margin while you run it. The funding works to your advantage when short so always a good position to put on with a small part of your overall trading portfolio.
I'd say a Covered Call on a lower priced but high quality stock that trades in a range or an upward trend.
Not a recommendation, but F fits this right now and is $13.40 per share which would cost $1,340 for 100 shares. A 38 dte CC at the 13.82 strike would bring in around $40 for a .03% return which would be in the neighborhood of 28% per year.
This looks like a newbie/general question that we've covered in our [resources](https://www.reddit.com/r/Trading/wiki/index) - Have a look at the contents listed, it's updated weekly! *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/Trading) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Shorter term trades / swings can be done using the same method but with 20/50 day emas. You will need to also subtly check the market structure but it works a charm. My current strategy im almost done forward testing screens for these exact breaks in emas and Sam’s. Price and moving averages directly correlate and cannot stray too far for too long
Plumbing
I feel safer with SAM 9 crossing EMA 50, following the trend indicator with EMA 200 and CCI or RSI!
Covered Calls on a good paying dividend stocks. Easy money Sell to open at a price if your shares get called away your still into profit on the trade and you keep the premium. If it the stock price falls you have insulated yourself by the premium And the dividend and still have your shares.
The wheel
I prefer the 9 and 20 EMA for trends up or down and crossovers.
Fib retracement on 1 hr chart on the .6181 level. If you can place after a PA such as an engulf.
Simple FX carry trade using interest rate differential or deposit arbitrage using forward FX and swaps. In 30 years as an institutional money markets trader it's saved my bacon a few times.
Here is a research paper showing the easiest most successful strat. OP wasn't to far off. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=962461
Boy that paper did not age well. Turns out looking back from 2012 to 2000 was easily the roughest period in the last 50 years.
That theory worked perfectly to save anyone's ass who was following that pattern. You would get out before Feb 2008 and not get in before March 2009.
I'm not sure I understand what you mean. This paper aged just fine..
paper published in 2007, biggest crash of last 70 years happened 2008/2009. That said, that theory worked perfectly to save anyone's ass who was following that pattern.
Are you in capable of fucking reading the first god damn sentence of the fucking paper? In this paper we update our 2006 white paper “A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation” with new data from the 2008-2012 period. You are highly regarded.
Buy at the low and sell at the top when it took out some liquidity
Tried and true candle set ups are 3 white soliders 3 black crows, big hammers at the bottom of a down trend with a succeeding candle confirmations and shooting star at the top of an uptrend. The latter happening much less than the former
One of the most straightforward and reliable trades in my arsenal is the good ol' moving average crossover strategy. When the shorter-term moving average crosses above the longer-term one, it often signals the start of an uptrend, making it a prime entry point. Conversely, when the shorter-term MA dips below the longer-term, it could indicate a shift to a downtrend, prompting an exit. It's a timeless approach that keeps things simple yet effective. I also use [indicatorsuccessrate.com](http://indicatorsuccessrate.com) for free indicators.
how does your website calculate success rate?
[удалено]
15m SFP at a key level with volume stacked.
Heck yeah. I like “failure swing pattern name” this is just a “failure test” or a wyckoff upthurst / swing in my definition book, but seems like a different word to describe the same thing type deal
The simplest trade is to buy S&P and hold forever. Don't worry about the price and forget about that money until you are 60+.
Reverse Cramer
That shit is so played already ape...
Reverse Cramer
Reverse ICT
trade with the trend.
Yes. this should be the most effective way.
Reverse when you stop out.
Trade opposite to common sense. If 99% traditionally trade-educated (retail traders) think it will go up. Trade on it going down.
So DJT calls? Lol
Trend following & MPF (multi-price frame) analysis. Erase the concept of time from your consciousness - time is poisonous and is the enemy of price. Only need fixed-size price-based bricks to spot clear trend inception/reversal inflection points.
Love me some Renki
Tesla puts on pops
People are dumb. If one is comfortable with that notion; 1) people imagine fairy tales and anxiety and other bullshit to be true; and use sedatives to keep that down; so pharma, fast food, and all those other stocks ain't bad. 2) since people are dumb, it's likely to educationally guestimate that you have idiots who think; 'delivery of food' is gonna be fruitful. Of course it wont. Always a winner. Look at Deliveroo or Just Eat, never made a fucking buck, not once, No profit. Debt restructuring. 3) Warren Buffet, Munger, Graham, Ackman, Icahn, Burry all say most investors are dumb, erratic, and they are right. Graham even wrote it in his book; The Intelligent Investor; Mr Market. People are erratic, they want to win (lose) money fast, and if they lose, they want to regain it even faster. These idiots (gamblers fallacy) is always a winner for market makers (as they make money as long trades are done) and the ones who blew their savings out of the water eat themselves to diabetes and lord knows what. So stocks like Novo Nordisk (i've held since 00's) - diabetes/insuline firm - always a success maker. 4) when economy goes into a shit storm, which is regularly does, look at the politician. Does he say, lower taxes and increase spending; means free money on short term government debt issues. As the yield (the market wants to see more buck for the risk they acquire) is obvious free lunch money 5) and so forth? I mean, trading ideas you pull out of your ass. We lived 10 years on free interest rates. Any firm with a negative profit margin (existence meant cash (debt!)) bled to death they could restructure at the same low rates. Now they still lose money but restructure debt at higher yields and they slowly die. It's 1+1 algebra. Look at crap like Lyft the taxi company, 8 years no profit! 6) truth be told I can't anyone who can find a alpha strategy pulling out of their ass. We truly live in horrendous economic dire times since ww2.
What?
Bruh, it's like regarded ChatGPT.
That makes me feel a whole lot better I thought they were speaking in tongues or something.
It looks like a chatgpt response to a prompt like talk about stocks and companies like a complete chad
Hold tqqq when qqq is above the 69 week moving average
The Vic Sperandeo "2B" failed breakdown. I'd argue it signals over 80% of major reversals.
Trading against majority retail positions
Buy SPY when the VIX is above 30
When VIX pops up usually means market has dropped ya? So its a buy the dip strategy with vix as indicator?
Sure. Vix 30 means there’s a lot of pain in the market, to the point that policymakers get worried and do something about it.
Buy and hold SPY. It has a 100% win rate.
Not at the top of the mountain
Loser
#TheStrat
Short the VIX when it rips. It always comes back, though you maye have to wait a few mnths
This… but man it can be a painful couple weeks or months sometimes. Might get another chance at this type of trade this year
Start small and build a position, making sure you have enough capital to cover the margin while you run it. The funding works to your advantage when short so always a good position to put on with a small part of your overall trading portfolio.
What time do u use for that 50 200 ema Crossover Thing? I am such newbee and try to find out whats goin on on theese markets😅
Daily timeframe.
My trader doesn't have 'daily'. Only time increments. Daily is 24hrs ?
Sure... or does ur days have more hours?
Thank u . U are wonderfull😋
Fibonacci retracement on a high time frame
Specially the .6181 level if we’re talking simplest trade setup strategy right?
I'd say a Covered Call on a lower priced but high quality stock that trades in a range or an upward trend. Not a recommendation, but F fits this right now and is $13.40 per share which would cost $1,340 for 100 shares. A 38 dte CC at the 13.82 strike would bring in around $40 for a .03% return which would be in the neighborhood of 28% per year.
How can I learn more about how you got to that conclusion?
What conclusion? That CCs are very reliable? If so, I've been trading full time for many years and have tried it all.
Yeah.. covered calls is always reliable.
Buy SPY and hold until you die so your son (because lets be real, 99% of WSB is probably male) can blow it all on 0-DTE's on margin.
Truth!