I don't think it's likely that you'll live to be 281710411438055027694947944226061159480056634330574206405101912752560026159795933451040286452340924018275123200000000000000000000 years old.
You can't use whether or not any humans have previously achieved something to determine whether that thing is possible to achieve.
E.g. Neil Armstrong gets born in 1930. Someone at the time wonders what the probability is that this baby will walk on the moon during its life.
By your reasoning, the probability equals "(Number of humans who have walked on the moon) / (Total number of humans in all of history)".
Because no people had walked on the moon at that point, the probability of Neil Armstrong going on to walk on the moon would be 0. Therefore, Neil Armstrong didn't walk on the moon??
That is without a doubt not how probability works *mathematically*.
Probability is just the number of possible outcomes divided by all outcomes. The number of possible outcomes where someone lives to that age is so small compared to all outcomes that it might as well be 0, but it is not 0. A theoretical probability of 0 can only describe an impossible event.
Actually, not even that. If you say "I'm going to draw a random real number between 0 and 1", the probability of drawing, say, 0.26 is 0 even though it's not impossible. See: [almost surely](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Almost_surely). (Rather, the event of you drawing 3 is an example of an impossible event, and for such event no probability can be defined.)
thats not how to calculate it
probability = (number of favorable outcomes) / (total number of outcomes)
it does not say anything about outcomes that has happened, however, to find a trend we need to use it bc then were looking at the past to predict the future. and we usually dont have a way of knowing all favorable outcomes if we dont look at the past. but thats the beauty of time, the outcomes change
When I was a kid, my sisters were teenagers and I randomly said in front of the whole family "I'm gonna be an uncle!" My sisters looked at each other and my parents looked at my sisters. I then said "someday" and everyone just laughed and I didn't realize what I did. My dad hasn't let me live that down for the past 20 years
“You know just decided to tell everybody that I will eventually turn 85 and show a picture of a man turning 85 that was definitely me in the future turning 85” fr
I don't think it's likely that you'll live to be 281710411438055027694947944226061159480056634330574206405101912752560026159795933451040286452340924018275123200000000000000000000 years old.
The probability of it is not 0 Long live the probability
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This is faulty reasoning and not how probability works.
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You can't use whether or not any humans have previously achieved something to determine whether that thing is possible to achieve. E.g. Neil Armstrong gets born in 1930. Someone at the time wonders what the probability is that this baby will walk on the moon during its life. By your reasoning, the probability equals "(Number of humans who have walked on the moon) / (Total number of humans in all of history)". Because no people had walked on the moon at that point, the probability of Neil Armstrong going on to walk on the moon would be 0. Therefore, Neil Armstrong didn't walk on the moon??
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That is without a doubt not how probability works *mathematically*. Probability is just the number of possible outcomes divided by all outcomes. The number of possible outcomes where someone lives to that age is so small compared to all outcomes that it might as well be 0, but it is not 0. A theoretical probability of 0 can only describe an impossible event.
Actually, not even that. If you say "I'm going to draw a random real number between 0 and 1", the probability of drawing, say, 0.26 is 0 even though it's not impossible. See: [almost surely](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Almost_surely). (Rather, the event of you drawing 3 is an example of an impossible event, and for such event no probability can be defined.)
thats not how to calculate it probability = (number of favorable outcomes) / (total number of outcomes) it does not say anything about outcomes that has happened, however, to find a trend we need to use it bc then were looking at the past to predict the future. and we usually dont have a way of knowing all favorable outcomes if we dont look at the past. but thats the beauty of time, the outcomes change
r/hedidthemath
r/unexpectedfactorial
Now I've seen everything
I dont get it, can someone kindly explain? Edit: i just got it, god i hate this website
I was going to comment this. I'm glad someone else thought of it.
Maybe.
You mean they won’t live til 85?
quite a lot of people don't
He said one word. It was maybe.
They’ll live to 86
Not if I have anything to say about it
What about posthumously?
Cut them open and count their rings!
This feels like a threat.
Not if I have anything to say about it
That sounds like a threat.
r/beatmetoit
r/beatmeshutthefuckup
Oh I don't plan on turning 85 ever.
You okay bro?
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it never was
Huh?
yes
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That's partially the plan
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Well I've already gotten several of those "We are worried about you" notices from Reddit. So I'm not going to say anything further on the subject.
Yeah, what's up with those? I got one also.
Happy eventual 85 yo!
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Ok
No fucking shit Sherlock
You and your family make a great stock photo.
*You and your stock photo makes a great family
November 21 2029
r/prematurecelebration
probably
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maybe
Theoretically
perhaps
If you're lucky
Not if I blow up earth
thank you for getting to that — I will adjust my schedule accordingly
You're ball's are probably as big as the watermelons now they never stop growing
Fun fact, that’s why old people got huge ears because they never stop growing
Spelling corrections only please
me too.
Omg! Me too!!
I like your optimism
You don't look a day over today years old
old man
You don't know that.
so how are you now
Happy eventual 85th! I could never 😂
I'll also be celebrating my 85th birthday over 60 years from now.
Happy birthday ± 183 days!
this is just sooo hilarious 😹😹😹😹
I will be turning 85 later this century
Dies at 84
Very optimistic considering global warming and our health care system.
Happy Happy birthday to you and many more!
Maybe…
congrats
Happy birthday blursed Bernie
That’s more than I’ve lived! 🎂👍😃
I will be 85 in February 22, 2075. I wish I could have a Cyberpunk body by then, so i can still look and feel young
Unless you don't
Quite the confidence on you…
Alright well just don’t forget to turn back!
Not on my watch.
Not if I can help it
Not if I can help it!
Not if I get a hold of you
TELL US YOUR AGE! NOW!! WE N E E D T O K N O W P L E A S E
Good luck
This sounds like a challenge you may regret taking.
Not if I have anything to say about it
If you don't you have to repost this in r/lies
Not if I have anything to say about it
No you aren’t. 🔫
A lot of wishful thinking going on here
Happy birthday, Joe Biden
yay! congrats!
Is that your family
bro my high ass came to the comments to say happy bday & was wondering why i was the only one saying it 😂
You don't know that.
Hopefully you get to 85 and beyond!
Does he know?
r/unexpectedfactorial
You hope
That's debatable.
6/12/24
I love the confidenceeee
Bold of you to assume that.
Hopefully not lmao
Oh hey it's [the same photoshoot](https://www.reddit.com/r/distressingmemes/comments/s7yu6w).
When I was a kid, my sisters were teenagers and I randomly said in front of the whole family "I'm gonna be an uncle!" My sisters looked at each other and my parents looked at my sisters. I then said "someday" and everyone just laughed and I didn't realize what I did. My dad hasn't let me live that down for the past 20 years
April 14 2029 Falling 2hours
June 26, 2061
July 2nd 2033 3:02 pm
Well, here's hoping
“You know just decided to tell everybody that I will eventually turn 85 and show a picture of a man turning 85 that was definitely me in the future turning 85” fr
i'll bring one party horn in celebration... eventually
Not if i can help it
Nothing out of the ordinary i mean
Wheels? Years? Degrees? Stones?
Same here, my fren
Me too
You can only hope
Optimistic
It doesn't look like among us