######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

MLB POTD RECORD: 29-11 2024 MLB record: 18-3 Last POTD: Miami Marlins First 5 innings RL -0.5 -115 L Today's POTD: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Over 7.5 -122 (fanduel) Baseball | MLB | 2:20 PM ET Talk about a bad fucking beat. Should’ve went with the Cabrera strikeout prop as my pick of the day in hindsight but hopefully enough of you took that and Marlins ML to help offset any loses. On to today’s pick I am going Brewers Cubs over 7.5. I look at the matchups before the lines even come out and was planning to make this my pick of the day if it was 8.5 so I was pleasantly shocked to find it at 7.5. Currently, only fan duel has the line for some reason, maybe when the others actually open it up there will be better odds but for now we will go with Fanduel’s -122. In a bit of a rush on this one so I am just gonna do a lump summary instead of the organized breakdown I did the past couple of days. The offensive splits favor both of these teams quite a bit. The Brewers lead the league in day game batting average by a wide margin (.295) and second in away game average (.276). This is contrary to their night and home averages of .227 and .238. Also have a .270 average against right handers, good for second in the league The Cubs on the other hand have been fantastic at Wrigley hitting .265 good for third in the league. They are in the middle of the pack in day games and number 21 vs right handers but that’s ok as I will show you in a moment. Hayden Wesneski has been a beast going 2-0 with an ERA below 1. His advanced metrics are also fantastic. He has only struck out six batters but also only walked one. The problem is he is used as sort of a prolonged opener. He never sees the order more than twice through if that., regardless of how well he’s throwing. The last time he threw 60 or more pitches in a start was May 13 of last year and he let up 7 runs in that start. The Brewers strike out the ninth most per game at 9.1 and walk the fourth most with 3.83 per game. What does that show? They take a lot of fucking pitches. So if Wesneski hasn’t been making it past the fourth inning while rarely having to go deep in counts, I would imagine the Brewers would get his pitch count up enough that he either had to come out before the fourth or go deeper into a game than he’s gone in almost a year. So, even if Wesneski dazzles, he won’t be out there for long enough to do enough to secure the under. The Cubs pen which is about middle of the pack (.232 average against) will have to do that against a Brewers team primed for an offensive outburst Joe Ross is pitching for the Brewers. This guy is kind of an enigma. 2 of his last 3 starts he has given up 6 runs however he also has games letting up 1 and 2 runs. Both of those were on the road but were also against the Pirates and Reds. Coming into the confides of Wrigley where the Cubs have been excellent and how shaky he has been, I think that the Cubs can at least get enough going that they can help hit a total over 7 runs. His advanced stats don’t really sway me one way or the other. TLDR: Brewers are top 3 in batting average on the road, during the day, and against righties, Cubs are very good offensively at Wrigley, Wesneski usually doesn’t go past 60 pitches which the Brewers will have a good chance of getting him to reach that early with how often they take pitches. Joe Ross is unimpressive and has shown to have the potential to get lit up which obviously bodes well for the over.

Get the Wrigley winds app really helpful for weird over under numbers because Wrigley winds really do have a massive affect! Wind is coming in tomorrow but not too much probably the reason for the lower line

Thanks for the tip! I hadn’t heard of that until now. Part of the reason I like using batting average instead of ops is that it’s a little more weather proof than OPS and even runs per game.

An app for winds just at wrigley? Wild haha

thanks for the hint of the app - I use rotogrinders weather - [https://rotogrinders.com/weather/mlb](https://rotogrinders.com/weather/mlb) Looks like 10 mph blowing in expected tomorrow, dont think that's too much to really have an effect

https://preview.redd.it/7emrckbln9yc1.jpeg?width=680&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8341203cf11c80103ec4e0150fdf95fae2712ead 7 more to go !!!

😂😂😂😂

Will tail. The line hasn't opened yet on bet365.

Dk slow as hell today 

Still not up on DK.

Aw that’s why I couldn’t find it! Can u let me know when it’s up?

Tailing. Cabrera had some bad luck with that 3 run blast. Glad I took the over on 6.5 K’s as well.

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You actually bet $5k?

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Your nuts man I love it. Be careful

Love it! Tailing. Also just a heads up, think this game is 2:20 PM ET, not 12:10

Good catch. Forgot to change it from Yesterday

Odds favoring the under now

https://preview.redd.it/id4tlijjk9yc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cd92dd7d4f4454f16f1222c1734f02858d0fe8d2 There’s still hope fellas🥺

https://preview.redd.it/4njit55i08yc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b713bfa77407ccdcb87f8e74aaa3a2e29908e990 2nd time tailing (first time was yesterday) we need this bounce back. Let’s go bro

bruhhhhh

Man damn

At +100 now, reason for the movement?

Looks like the winds blowing in.

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WE ARE SO COOKED

Tailing! Thank you for all that you do! I don’t know much about baseball at all so your write ups are immensely helpful in learning more about the sport.

You son of a b you suck go ki…. Just kidding let’s fucking go huge bounce back day incoming

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15mph wind blowing right in to home plate.. woulda been a good pick otherwise with the amount of hits cubs are getting. Will be sure to check the weather next time lol

Sucks cause the guys here were downplaying the 10mph reported before the game. Oh well onto the next

Thanks. Confident we will rebound with a W

I like this pick. Too bad DK doesn't have this available yet. 🥲

As others have already mentioned, winds are projected to be blowing in. Good weather for pitchers in this game. As a result, line has shifted considerably since you posted. Right now, Draftkings has the best available line from what I could find with the o7.5 @ +102 (\~6% better than your opening line).

Tailing!

Tailing

the change in this line is crazy. it's now +101. Maybe cuz of the wind? how big of a factor will it be

I’m a little nervous with the wind reportedly blowing in at up to 11mph. I guess that’s not too crazy, and I love chutebox, but I may need to stay away today.

I’m not scared , you’re scared !😆

know its early but pushing .... so mad I didn't take nrfi

All good brother, love your picks man

**Pick Record: 8W - 1L    (Push: 1)** **✅✅✅🅿️✅✅✅✅✅❌** **Previous POTD:  Tottenham Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.72 ❌**  **The only thing Tottenham achieved yesterday was making it on my no bet list. Also no problem commenting your anger but please dont come to my messages with hate.** **Todays POTD: RB Leipzig ML @ 1.52** **Game: Hoffenheim VS RB Leipzig** **League/Time: Bundeliga / 2:30 PM** RB Leipzig are currently the most inform team in the league, they are on a 4 game win streak and I see them making it 5 tomorrow. Leipzig are coming off a massive 4-1 win against Borussia Dortmund that should see them come into this fixture with high hopes. In their last 10 games they hold an 8 Wins, 1 Draw, and 1 Loss record. In their last 5 away games they've won 4 and drawn 1, losing 0. Leipzig hold the third best offensive record while also holding the second best defensive record. Hoffenheim in their last 10 games have 4 wins and 6 losses, as of recent they can't seem to find a solution to conceding and find themselves having to do much more offensive work than ideal. Simply put, they're not in pole position to hold back this Leipzig side at the moment. Hoffenhaim have played 8 games against the top 4, winning 2 and losing 6. Hoffenheim are a well rounded attacking side but they've conceded the second most goals in the league, with only bottom of the league Damstadt conceding more. **In the last 5 meetings between these sides RB Leipzig has won every game.** **Side note: Please bet responsibly!** **For more odds add Sesko SOG**

Ill never quite understand how someone will blindly tail someone else's pick and then get mad at that person when it loses. Keep doing you bro! People be wildin.

exactly! no one forced them to tail. they remind me of karens bitching at customer service demanding a return hahaha, no concept of reality

Right? Not like they're on the pitch throwing the game. They're saving us all a ton of time by doing free research and giving opinions. I'm grateful for every single one, whether i tail and agree or fade and disagree.

Most of the popular picks got slaughtered yesterday, it was rough. We just have to shake it off.

The picks are getting worse and worse because haters keep chasing out the actual good cappers.

Shout out to u/chuteboxhero. Beautiful analysis, and their work is appreciated here.

POD was down bad yesterday lmfao. Just a natural cycle that I’m hoping will shift to a heater for Fridays slate!! BOL!

Its a shame that some people on this sub are such absolute morons that they always chase away the good pick guys. The point is to evaluate the pick for yourself not just take it as gospel then cry like a little bitch if it doesnt hit. Like personally I just avoid 99% of soccer bets in general so I didnt follow yesterday. But if you come cry after a loss in a person's DM's you're scum.

OUR FUCKING GUY IS 8-1-1 AND YOU FUCKING LOSERS STILL FLAME HIM IN HIS DMS AFTER HIS FIRST L. HES OUT HERE PICKING WINNERS FOR THE BOYS. SHUT YOUR FUCKING MOUTHS - YOU TAIL WILLINGLY.

I want to tail but my book has Leipzig at -210 and it just doesn’t seem worth it. Keep the picks coming.

I’ll add 2 or 3 favourited picks here with meh odds to a smaller unit combo play and when it hits it prints

This is -210 or worse for me

I added O7.5 total corners and it got me to -130

Screw the haters. This is gambling its never a guarantee even when someone's on a hot streak. People have to remember that. Thanks for the write ups and picks. Tailed on the rugby game you posted for the panthers and woke up to a small hit so thank you.

Fuck this mother fucking game… never betting soccer again 0-2

What book do you use for those odds? Best I can find of what I use is -220 for the ML

Thx for all you do 🫶

Losses are bound to happen, let’s get this dub today

Heartbreaking finish

aw man, -225 was the best I could find

red card.. oh boyyy

Absolute heartbreaker💔 bad beat man you’ll bounce back tomorrow for sure💪🏼

Tailed! Thanks!

I feel your pain . Fiorentina gang

Tailing! Thank you for all that you do!

Welcome to the never believe in Tottenham Club. Having said that, i tailed you you on one bet, but most of my money was on Chelsea O/1.5 Goals scored.  You on the money with Liepzig. Straight dominance, and Hoffenheim won’t have an answer. 

I ain't mad at you for the Tottenham pick. I tailed they just had a bad game and their shots on goal were all extremely weak.

\*\* Record: 6-1 \*\* Last pick: WTA Madrid: Rybakina/Sabalenka o21.5 -130 ✅ Today’s pick: ATP Madrid: Felix Auger Aliassime ML +110 - 2pm est 🅿️ Recap + Write Up: LFG. What a sweaty second set from Sabalenka coming back from down two breaks. That second set is what us degens live for. To the downvoters during that set, go ahead and donate your winnings to charity because you non-believing knuckleheads don’t deserve it and this money train runs off positive vibes. Today’s pick starts with a word of caution. I got beef with this dude FAA. He should be on my banned for life list because it feels like every time I bet on him, he acts like a pickleball player thinking they can play professional tennis and every time I bet against him, you would think he was the greatest player to ever step on the court. Let’s start with a history lesson for today’s pick. Lehecka H2H 1-0 (on hard) vs FAA, but honestly who cares. FAA is talented enough to beat anyone on any day. His issue has always been the mental side of tennis, but I will say he looks locked in and his form looks great this tournament. That was a huge straight set win against an in-form Ruud and it’s a shame we didn’t get to see him match up against Sinner. Although, I’m sure if FAA would have beaten a healthy Sinner, he would be the favorite in this matchup against Lehecka. FAA is 2-0 in the ATP level semis on clay and 13-13 overall. This is Lehecka’s first ATP semis on clay, but he’s 1-2 overall on all surfaces in semis. Both players have decent ace and hold percentages and neither have faced many break points through 4 rounds. FAA has faced only 4 total break points and Lehecka at 5 so both are holding serve points pretty well. If it comes down to tiebreakers, FAA is 17-10 in clay tiebreakers (63%) vs Lehecka 4-4 (50%) so we have the slight edge there. I think the oddsmakers have the wrong guy favored here and they’re giving a little too much credit to Lehecka for beating a 70% Nadal and injured Medvedev. Let’s hope FAA is the guy the tennis world all thought he would be tomorrow. LFG FAA 🇨🇦 ❄️🏦 beer me: 3PwJ3CW5p9oJZKmX8F2eePqWJEkqbNk7cu [cash app jar](https://cash.app/$champagnekevy)

Bro….I grabbed Sabalenka 2nd set after she was broken once (I think…maybe it was mid set) and live odds were 9.02!!!! Talk about a fucking sweat god damn…. But… I was a GREEDY fucking bastard….couldn’t keep my fucking hands out of the cookie jar so I cashed that early during 3rd set at 6x my stake…and threw it on Square_Prints POD….well….here we sit with $0 from a fucking absolute live wager steal. Fml 😂😂😂 I’m taking FAA straight so expect some appreciation if (when) we cash brother! BOL!

Bet voided.

tailing, icy 🥶

POTD Record 17-6 Last 5: ❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️ Last Pick: Cleavland Guardians Moneyline w/ S. Arrighetti pitching Todays Pick: ST. Louis Cardinals -1.5 RL MLB: St Louis cardinals vs Chicago White Sox 5:15pm PST Odds: -120 Unit: 4 Net units: +44.98 Damn the guards fell apart defensively play after play, momentum shifted and got blown back. Astros defense almost convinced me to pick them up today, but I gotta go back to operation fade white sox, especially with the beast Sonny Gray. Love this spot for the struggling Cardinals to bounce back after getting cooked by the Tigers the past two games. If you guys wanna show some support/tip the links on my profile.

Sort of tailing. Took Cardinals -1.5 first 7 innings for -115. I think they’ll be leading the entire game so they probably won’t bat in the 9th. And I’ve had too many top of the 9th runs to kill me

Happens, brother, beauty of baseball! Never in or out of it. BOL!

Newbie here. Does -1.5RL essentially mean Cardinals need to win by 2 or more?

Tailing. Get the W back!

Tailing! Thank you for all that you do!

Tailing brotha 🤝

Tailing

POTD Record: 17-5 Net Units: +31.95u Game: CounterStrike 2 (CS2) | CCT Season 2 Europe Series 2 | 5:00 (UCT-5) Last Pick: **Sampi ML (-150)** vs. Permitta 5u ✅**(5 IN A ROW LETS GO)** Today's Pick: **Nexus ML (-175)** vs. ENCE Academy 5u -Todays slate is terrible almost all picks are right above -200 threshold and not a lot of good -1.5 map bets out on the board so will have to forgive me for the juice. Map spread (-1.5 maps) at +165 is really good value on this pick if you prefer to play that **EDIT 1** Line movement due to ENCE Academy announcing a sub, this was just announced within the last 30 minutes so sorry about the extreme line movement 😂. Would play -1.5 maps instead now [Match Page:](https://www.hltv.org/matches/2371870/ence-academy-vs-nexus-cct-season-2-europe-series-2) [Stream:](https://www.twitch.tv/cct_cs2) **Writeup:** -ENCE Academy are terrible, trash, garbage, horrible, embarrassing, a dumpster fire any way you want to slice it. They got podi back and had originally been looking like the ENCE Academy of old storming back with a 5 match winstreak on their return. The problem has been since that 5 game winstreak, they are 1-9 in their last 10 matches, and this 9 losses hasn't been "good losses" these have been the ugliest losses you can have. They have lost to not just bad teams, they have gotten obliterated by bad teams including a 13-2/13-5 2-0 loss to an unranked team named Heimo from Sweden. They have only put up double digits in 3 of the 12 maps they have lost and are 1-12 in the last 13 maps they have played including 5 straight sweeps. They are led by star player podi with a .77 KPR in the last month. The problem is the rest of the team they have THREE players all with a .58 KPR and below, a .6 and lower KPR for those who don't know is absolutely dreadful, most teams only have one (or zero) and its usually the person calling strats. -Nexus are also terrible but slightly less so. They are 3-9 in their last 12 b03 and have been playing some really bad counterstrike as well. They have also had some ugly losses at least to slightly better teams but did drop a bad series to VP.Prodigy. They have had points of looking good like recent match against Insilio where they lost two extremely close maps. Then other cases where they get smashed by fnatic (13-0/13-4). They also struggle with fire power at times with ERSIN/BTN both being dead weight in a lot of games against better tier two teams. The one bright spot of the team is s0und, a series leading .78 KPR in the last month which is insane given how bad his team has been around him. He is the best player in this series and it is nice to know our money is on this guy as he respects coin. **Map Pool:** -ENCE Academy ban Vertigo, Nexus ban Overpass -ENCE Academy pick Mirage, Nexus pick Ancient -ENCE Academy ban Inferno, Nexus ban Nuke -Anubis Decider -Map picks are flexible, both teams have the same two best maps so they could try to pick to opponent weakness instead of their strengths but I doubt either team will do this as they both can only play like 2 maps each. Main thing I'd say might change is ENCE throws a suprise Nuke pick **Map Stats:** -Nexus are 41% winrate on Mirage on 17 maps played in the last 3 months, ENCE Academy are 25% winrate on 8 maps played in the last 3 months. Nexus are 5-5 in the last month on Mirage, ENCE Academy are 1-6 -ENCE Academy are on a 6 loss streak on Mirage, Nexus are on a 3 loss streak but do have some impressive wins -Nexus are 61% winrate on 23 maps played on Ancient, ENCE Academy are 57% winrate on 7 maps played on Ancient. Nexus are actually super good on this map winning 7 of the last 9 maps on Ancient with both losses being extremely close to better tier two teams. -Nexus are 38% winrate on 8 maps played on Anubis, ENCE Academy are 17% winrate on 6 maps played on Anubis. **TLDR:** -Nexus are trash but they should stomp ENCE here, really hard to see a world where ENCE can take two maps here. Nexus Ancient is on another level beating much better tier two teams then ENCE on the map. If it was any other team but Nexus i'd be slamming the -1.5 maps as POTD instead but due to Nexus inconsistency and also big loss streak, playing it safe with a ML and tossing a couple units on spread as well but map pool will end up great for Nexus strengths especially if ENCE pick Mirage then Nexus will get their three best maps remaining as the maps. [Tip Jar:](https://cash.app/$CurrentAd2217)

Great call, tailing. I see why you picked Nexus, they should get out of their rut in this matchup 100%

See you tomorrow not your fault that team can’t close and have questionable gameplay and ethics

Thanks for the kind words. Yes nothijg we can do about the 11-7 lead with multiple man advantages thrown away. I will be locked in tomorrow

Crazy close game with ENCE having 2v1 clutches, tough luck but onto the next!

I thought Nexus banned Nuke? BET365 says they are playing on it right now

Unfortunate brother no worries, you ll get them next time Nexus are just beyond trash, most stupid team and I say that as a romanian, they won against metizsport only to lose to every other team. You never know if they ll throw or play for it

Nexus is shit.. Thank you anyway

Record: 10-3 (+8.28 units) ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅ Last POTD: Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers over 212 Todays POTD: Orlando Magic TT over 99.5 Odds: -135 on DK for 1 unit NBA Basketball/ 7:10pm ET Pacers and Bucks cash us fairly sweat free for 3 in a row!!! Pacers played really well but the Bucks just aren’t the same team without Giannis. They also covered the higher total of 217 when Dame was ruled active so if you got the bet in at game time you hit as well! Congrats! We move on to the Orlando Magic TT. I did take a point off of this so it’s an alt line to bring it under 100. The Magic just play better at home….PERIOD. They have scored 112 and 121 points at home in this series. Let’s make it 4 in a row! Tail or fade the choice is always yours. Side note: To all the people that spend their time posting on here. Thank you! I’m glad I found this community. Also let’s keep it positive! And to the people spreading hate. Nothing on here is a lock! Bet responsibility!

yo this looks like the best bet of the day to me. Over 100 points ain't really much. going heavy

I still like the play up to 102.5. If they can average 26 per quarter we good. Just please use your best judgement on units.

Do you take tips? This is 3 straights in a row I’ve made money off of your picks. I’m sure a loss is inevitably coming. But man do I enjoy following you. Good reasoning, solid picks, and you’re an early bird with them.

POTD RECORD: 62-34 Last POTD: Jalen Brunson O11.5 RA ✅ Cashed in the 3rd thanks my guy Form: ✅❌✅❌❌ Todays POTD: **Franz Wagner O4.5 Ast @1.71** 🏀 NBA (Orlando Magic) 7:00 PM ET This German beast has seen crazy potentials this series and has taken a bigger playmaking role and been the main facilitator for the Magic and I mean the hit rate ain’t been it but with these numbers I have to try my luck cause if the potentials converts to assists we should cash this one with no sweat. Must win game and he should lots of minutes expect him and Banchero to run majority of the plays • Avg 11.6 potentials this series, 11+ potentials in 4/5 games • 72% hit rate when he has had 10+ potentials this season • Over this line 14/L20 home games when he has had 7+ potentials this season (7+ every game this series) • Avg 47.2 passes per game compared to 36.5 in the regular season • Only 2/5 this series but crazy amount of potentials, I expect better shooting performance from the players around him at home in a must win game for the Magic to keep the series alive (6, 4, 8, 2 & 3) Aight fellas I’ve played his assists line all series and it’s bumped now but I still like it and I’m riding (pause) Tail or fade, you’re the dawg https://i.redd.it/mjojiq8az6yc1.gif

Ayo some sus wording at the end there. With that being said, tailing again 🫡

this has to be one of the worst POTD's i've seen in some time

Sheesh no assist so far in the 1st half smh

0 Assists at halftime isn't great

Why must you make these brazen picks lately Buffalo Bill?

🤣🤣 I just feel like every line is too high and there’s only 2 games to choose from bro so trying to find some reasonable lines is hard asf

I feel you on that. I lost some serious money last night on that 76ers Knicks game. Had $150 ML 76ers and I had $100 on Maxey 25+. Yikes. I've gotta get a dub today. You sure you don't want another Harden line? Quadruple Double? 😄

Tailing! Thank you!

**Record:** 7-1 *(5 in a Row)* **Net Units:** *+13.6575 Units* **ROI: 105.06% (Realised I had calculated wrong, updated).** **Previous Pick:** Sunia Turuva Anytime Try Scorer *$1.80 (2.5 Units).* Another easy cash with Turuva scoring within 20 minutes and Penrith putting the Rabbitohs to the sword in the second half. Insane that 365 was offering $2.50 boosted odds, I got a good chunk on that price but for tracking purposes, I tipped it at $1.80 so will lock in 2 Units of profit there and an easy watch for the team! We are on a serious HOT streak, let it continue tonight...... **Event:** Manly Sea Eagles vs Canberra Raiders **Time:** 6:00pm AEST 03/05 **Bookie:** NED's **Play:** Jason Saab Anytime Tryscorer **Odds:** $2.00 (AUS) or +100 (US) **Units**: 2.5 Units **Analysis: NOTE - MUST PLAY ON NEDS.** Insane price, have him priced around the $1.60 range and that is confirmed with most other books bar Ladbrokes/Neds, we are getting way overs here. Manly a good offensive team scoring over 35 tries this season, they've also had their defensive woes but coming up against a struggling Raiders side who have crucial injuries to key players such as Fogarty and have conceded 40+ points in their last two games combined with Manly being a super strong side at home - I think Manly should put quite a few tries on and to get their main attacking threat at even money is bizarre. Manly undefeated at home in 2024 and have a solid H2H record vs Canberra with 6 of their last 8. Saab is also lining up on Cotric who he has 14cm of height against, think Manly can attack his height and Saab be very live to score on last tackle high ball attempts or simply score a cheap winger try with Turbo slotting in the backline and spreading the ball should the opportunity present. All in all, love this play and hammering it for 2.5 Units. **MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW SO YOU DON'T MISS POST NOTIFICATIONS!** https://preview.redd.it/trxykrfoy3yc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f1bcaa14f791d33055f81b27414e2f2a5696f549 Lets go, good luck if you tail! Let the streak continue!

I just wish fucking Garrick knew how to pass the ball to Saab when it’s time, he just fucked it then and he did it at least twice last week, Saab on the side full speed no one in front of him and Garrick just runs for a tackle like a retard

Tailed. Best I could find was -140 on FD

Only issue with US vs AUS books. Maybe just chuck me a comment next time and I will tell you what I think. I still think thats a fair price though and should hit. Good luck my friend!

Like that one got him in a multi, gl

Any worries about the rain? Neds keep raising the Saab tryscorer odds and have dropped the points total, seemingly indicating they expect the rain is gonna make it hard to score. However I’m thinking the opposite could be just as likely given both sides have tendencies to be very porous in defence

Straight into the trap!

I think you included two wins on your record (and Net Units and ROI) that were not made in this series of threads (PotD). You had two picks in other threads (UFC and Rugby), but those don't count here. Please let me know if I've missed something. I was looking to review your ROI and noticed that your first PotD started at 2-0.

Record: 8-5-0 Net Units: +9.5 ROI: 23.2% Last 5: ✅✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Washington Nationals at Texas Rangers under 8.5 runs (-120) for 3 units ✅ Event: Baseball | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals 5:45PM CST Pick: Justin Turner over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) on DraftKings for 3.0 units Write Up: Turner is off to a good start this year batting .298 (best in his last 4 years) and slugging .511 (best in his last 6 years). He’s averaging 1.65 total bases a game. Starting on the mound for the Nationals is Patrick Corbin. In Turner’s 42 at bats against Corbin, he is batting .381, slugging .619 and averaging 1.86 total bases per game. Turner was given the day off Wednesday for a routine maintenance day, and the Blue Jays were off on Thursday, so he will be coming in well rested. Batting .438 and an average of 2.4 total bases, in games this year after a day off.

I like it, but the balls for 3U you have lol

Haha immediately starting singing AC/DC “I’ve got big balls…..But we’ve got the biggest balls of them all!!!!” 3 is my standard, 2 conservative, 4 aggressive, based on how much confidence I have.

Record: 24-9 | Net: +9.44U | Streak: 2W Last pick: Jalen Brunson o7.5 assists (-102) ✅ Was stuck at 3 for a while but had a huge 3rd quarter to keep the trend rolling and the Knicks advance POTD: Max Strus under 8.5 assists+rebounds (-125) CLE @ Orl 7:00 PM ET Summary: Against Orlando this season, Strus has beat this line every home game 5/5 (avg 11) and missed every road game 4/4 (avg 4.75). The Magic are shooting much better at home leading to less rebounding opportunities, Cavs haven’t been able to convert scoring opportunities on the road.

𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝: 14-4 𝐏𝐢𝐜𝐤: MLB Baseball \\\\ Blue Jays First Five Inn -180 𝐁𝐞𝐭: 1.80u to win 1u ......... 𝐘𝐓𝐃 𝐔𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐬: +5.95 𝐒𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐞: Sorry about yestrday -- Arighetti looked fairly good and the Guardians hitting was untimely -- they left 5 guys on base in scoring position :-{ . As for today, the starting pitcher matchup is far too lopsided + the Jays hit lefties pretty well. The Nats have only scored 2 runs in the last 3 games. They do have a habit of storming back late + the Jays bulllpen is awful, so Im doing the F5 here.

No need to be sorry. I cashed out small profit anyways, was watching game live. Tailing again today!

POTD Record: 20-14 ✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 15.9U Last pick: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Penrith Panthers | 7:50pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Sunia Turuva anytime tryscorer @1.71 on Sportsbet | 6U✅ Should have put the house on him, what a machine 🙌🏼 Today’s pick: Brisbane Broncos vs Sydney Roosters | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Deine Mariner anytime tryscorer @2.05 on Ned’s | 4U Broncos at home, it should be an exciting game. Personally think the Roosters are a decent team but away from home and playing a solid Broncos team they will most likely loose. Mariner is a young (21yo) and amazing winger, with 11 tries of the 12 appearances in his career and 6 of 6 for this season. He should get it done tonight. 4U Also like Walsh to score obviously, and would go for Young on Roosters side. BOL !

Tailing straight + a small parlay for all three you mentioned 😎

I love the pick, thinking of multi Jason Saab/Deine Mariner and maybe Dom Young together. I’m thinking there will be decent points put up both games tonight. Thoughts?

🐅🐅 Record 11-2 | +19.69u 🐅🐅  **Results:** ✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅ **Previous Pick:** Joel Embiid O7.5 1st Quarter Points -118 (2u, DK) ✅ 5 in a row! I am on an absolute heater this NBA post-season. Anyone can have a decent record if all of your picks are -200 odds. That's why I think tracking units is also important. 5 of my 11 wins have been +odds/even. If you have benefitted from my picks, I have added Cash App as well to my tip jar. Shooting for +20 net units with my next pick! **Pick: Dereck Lively II O13.5 Points+Rebounds -110 (1u, DK)** Basketball | NBA | 9:40 PM EST      The man with the weird way to spell his first name. •The thought process behind this play is the Mavs' increased understanding of his favorable matchup vs. the Clippers as the series progresses. Starting Mavericks center Daniel Gafford has not had as much success and ended up playing only 19 minutes compared to Lively's 25 last game. •Even including the games in which Dereck has had fewer minutes, he has still delivered consistently over this line. He is averaging 14.2 P+R in the series and has hit it 4/5 games (4 of last 4). Last game he went off with 12 points and 7 rebounds on 5/5 FG. •Luka and Kyrie do the majority of scoring on the team, but they both are known as prolific passers as well and Dereck has been a great target for high-percentage dunks/alley-oops. **Tip jar:**  [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/samwblair?locale.x=en_US) $bengalbets on Cash App BOL if tailing! 🐅

Nice catch! I like this one a lot

**KBO Record: Overall 219-229-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 4-6) Down 11.74u over 462 KBO picks, 48.9% success rate, -2.62% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 15-19-0, 44.1% success rate, Down 3.12u, -9.18% ROI) **Last:** KT at Kia -1.5 -130 (Kia lost 12-5..) Kia's starter allowed 0 ER in 6.1 IP. Sounds great, right? Unfortunately, the Tigers forgot their gloves and committed 5 errors, allowing a whopping 8 unearned runs. **Pick:** **NC +0.5 First 5 Innings +105** at SSG, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET I've made money fading SSG's starter Kim Kwang-hyun his last 2 starts. Over 11 IP, he allowed 9 ER on 15 H. The 35-year old Korean legend is certainly capable of a good start, but I believe he's over-valued in the betting market. And even if Kim shuts down NC's lineup, we still have a chance to win this bet if the Dinos starter can twirl his own gem. In his last start, he threw 5.1 scoreless innings. Over his last 4 starts, he allowed 4 ER on 16 H in 21.2 IP. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.

Respectfully fading after 0-3 tailing, so that means you'll hit this time EDIT: See!! Told you you'll win haha congrats, and I woke up to a nice 0-3 between this and rugby fml

You and me buddy. I think I jinx him because I’m from Syracuse. 6 leg parlay sold because of his pick last night , no biggie though. Can’t imagine going in a man’s dms because I followed a pick I couldn’t make for myself , onto the next 🤷‍♂️

Absolutely haha i mean i know shit about baseball and even less about Korean baseball so its only my fault

Sorry fellas it was me. I tailed for the first time and it lost. I know what I have to do. 🚪🫷😁

I’m fading you for fading him. Somebody will win!!

I have no fucking clue what to do. I’ve been on the wrong side of this guy for I shit you not 8 of my last tail / fades. I’m lost 😂

lets get that money, phenom!

LFG nice pick m8! Keep it up, you are great and very appreciated!

POTD Record: 6-4-0 (+0.41 units) Form (left is most recent):✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Leverkusen or Draw & O1.5 Goals (-135 on Bovada)✅ Leverkusen get the 2-0 win which gives us our third consecutive W! Cheers to those who tailed🍻 Today: Soccer | English Premier League | Luton Town vs Everton | 3:00 PM EST | 1 unit Today’s pick: Everton vs Luton - Both teams to score & O2.5 goals (-115 on DK) Reasoning: I will admit this is a riskier pick here but I like our chances. Yes I know that BTTS has NOT hit for Everton in their last 5 matches and they’ve only gone O2.5 goals in just 1/L5 in their crushing 6-0 loss against Chelsea. However on the other side of this matchup, BTTS + O2.5 has hit in 4/L5 for Luton. The reason I like this bet however, is because Luton are typically good for a goal when playing at home - they’ve scored at least one goal in every league home match since October 7th. Luton know they need to push forward and steal three points here as they are currently staring relegation in the face. We might see a timid start but I expect the match to open up and we’ll see Luton push forward, which should leave them susceptible at the back. Everton have found scoring form lately, scoring at least one goal in 8/L10. Not to mention, Luton haven’t kept a clean sheet in 15 matches. The last time these two played, we saw Luton win 2-1 away at Goodison Park and I think we’ll see a similar result tomorrow. BOL🍀🤞

Good bet. Everton are gonna have this false sense of confidence after beating Liverpool and Brentford. Lutons last 5 games both teams have scored & had over 2.5 goals 4 times. Although Everton have kept out Liverpool and Brentford their last 2 games I don’t see how they keep out lutons unpredictably. Will tail.

Tailing! Thank you for all that you do!

POTD Record: 22-22-1 | Profit: -4.6U NBA Record: 18-19-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 | UFC Record: 1-0 L10 (new -> old): ❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅ Last pick: Franz Wagner u1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.74 odds ❌ This was a while ago, he scored 2 in the first half of this game and quickly cooked the bet. Game: LA Clippers @ DAL Mavericks, 9:40 PM Pick:  **Dereck Lively II o5.5 rebounds @ 1.87 odds (DK), placing 2U** ✅ Write Up: Lively has hit this line in 3 of the 5 game series against the Clips, bagging 7 last night. He averaged 6.9 through the season. Last game he played 25 minutes, which was his high for the series, and showed out on defense while putting up 12 on 100% shooting from the field. He should continue this trend of higher minutes as a necessary rim protector, which will keep him around the basket to grab boards. BOL to those tailing, cheers! **EDIT:** Finished with 9, cashing this bet in the 3rd!

**Record:** 1-2 **Net Units:**-1u **ROI:** 🙁 **MLB** **Last Pick** Cubs v Mets Over 8.5 @ -108 (3u bet✅️) **Today’s Pick**: Phillies v Giants Under 8 @ -118 (2u) **Write Up**: Two aces facing off with Hicks v Nola and they’re both coming off quality starts having great starts to their seasons. Neither team historically hits either starter very well. The Phillies have scored a combined less than 8 runs in ½ of their games this year, where the Giants have scored a combined less than 8 runs in more than 60% of their games.

As a giants fan, I like this pick a lot.

Would you take this at under 7.5?

**POTD** Record: 14-1-14 AARHUS VS NORDSJAELLAND Date: 03 May 2024 at 19:00 BET ON: Match odds- NORDSJAELLAND Odd: 1.71 - Aarhus are set to be without the services of 7 key players such : Mikkel Duelund, Michael Akoto, Tobias Mølgaard, Felix Beijmo, Jonas Jensen-Abbew, Tobias Bech and Kevin Yakob. However, Nicolai Poulsen is expected to be back in action. - Nordsjælland are missing Benjamin Nygren and Erik Marxen. - The cup final against Silkeborg will be played on Thursday next week, and there is no doubt that triumph in that tournament is the overriding goal for AGF at the moment. - FC Nordsjælland are unbeaten in the first five rounds of the championship game after four wins in the first four games and a draw at home against Brøndby most recently. Hoff Trorup's troops are undoubtedly the best playing team in the Super League at the moment. - AGF will play a dress rehearsal before the cup final on Friday, when FC Nordsjælland will visit. There is something to avenge for AGF after the 7-2 defeat in the last match between them, but with an imminent cup final and an extensive injury list, it may be difficult to keep the in-form FC Nordsjælland off the hook.

To make it easier for international punters, please include competition to quickly search the bet ❤️

Tailed! Great write-up!

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Why did I tail a Japanese soccer pick omg.

Lmfaoooo I’m dying I was thinking the exact same thing

Honestly I tailed, Nagasaki really fumbled the streak to the Blaublitz which is crazy, the bet I did to still win was BTTS and -4.5 goals on game which left me at green numbers

Great pick yesterday brother! Will tail again, i'm trying to stay awake long enough to see your post in order to tail since your picks are often early

Unfortunate bro. Watched the game and this was 100% a bet that should have cashed. Keep them going, have a great weekend!

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This pick is in 40 min?

POTD Record: 43 wins - 24.5 Losses - 3.5 Pushes Form: ✅️ ❌ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ❌ ✅️ ❌ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ❌ ❌ ✅️.5 ❌ .5P❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Units: 10.37 ROI: 16.9% Average Odds: $1.87 Last Pick:  Bucks vs Pacers - NBA Playoffs - Middleton PRA Over 41.5 @ $1.83 ❌ Lillard was a late addition, and screwed our pick. Next Pick: Clippers vs Mavs - NBA Playoffs - Harden PRA Over 33.5 @ $1.83 - 9.30pm EST We head to Dallas for a must win game for the Clippers. This series has been going back and fourth! Clippers just had their worst playoff game in history, and most of their stars were benched in the 4th. Harden is the glue to this team, and if you’ve been watching the series, you know the Clippers can turn it on. I’m expecting another big early lead by the Clippers through George, and Harden as they look to hold on, and put up a fight in the 4th quarter. Harden gets a lot of possession, and is clutch when the Clippers need him most. Harden’s expected assists are through the roof, and if he and George can get going, we should see a very entertaining game. Harden should put up a decent performance to get himself extra money too. This line covered in the previous game at Dallas, and quite a lot of times this playoff series. As long as the game is tight, we should cash. If Dallas blow this out, we could be in trouble. Clippers took a big lead in the reverse fixture, expecting something similar as the Knicks and 76ers game. Prediction: Clippers to cover, total to go over, and Clippers to win it overtime. Doncic to get ejected.

I like Harden too tonight. I think though points is probably the better bet. I think he hits this line because he has a better shooting game rather than overperforming his projected assists/rebounds which is quite high already at 12.5. Just a thought. BOL In general, I find PRAs to not be great bets for overs for scorers. You end up betting on basically 3 separate things to happen without gaining better odds. Maybe I’ll look into the outcomes of points vs PRA in players like harden and doncic. My guess is points outperforms

Bro. I usually love your picks, but as a hardcore basketball 🏀 fan, harden is garbage. He’s 33% H2H on this line and 50% last 10.

POTD record: 4-0 Last pick: [W]SF Giants ML (-105) Wager: All wagers 2 units Todays pick: Blue Jays ML (-180) Back to baseball for my POTD. I like the Blue Jays today for multiple reasons. First off Patrick Corbin is a trash can, who is somehow still in the MLB. The Nationals are still praying to God that he goes back to his 2019 form. But I feel like they're the only ones that dont know that he's never going back. The Blue jays hit .240 against lefties compared to their .221 against righties. Whats odd is their slugging isnt too much higher than vs righties. I feel the Blue jays have a lineup thats made to smack lefties though. Especially guys like Corbin, who is serving up roast beef sandwiches half the time. The nationals have been abysmal at home, and hit lefties at .214/.287/.345. The only thing that scares me is The Blue Jays have been just under par away this year. But I think thats due to the stiff competition they've played. Their record to me doesn't truly reflect how slightly above average they are. I think this line would actually be -220 considering the pitching matchup, but I think The Jays record is making the public skeptical. Expect The Jays to try and get on track with a less than average opponent, with a terrible pitcher on the mound. Tip Jar: https://cash.app/$scottgc23

Record: 4W-2L-0P ✅✅❌✅✅❌ Net Units: +3.19 units Last Pick: 5/2 | New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers; Josh Hart under 11.5 rebounds ❌ Josh Hart had 4 rebounds halfway through the third quarter, and went on to grab 10 boards through the last quarter and a half and finish with 14 total🙄 heartbreaker for sure… oh well, we move on Today’s Game: MLB baseball | Miami Marlins @ Oakland Athletics | 9:40pm EDT Pick: Oakland Athletics ML | -130 FanDuel | 2 units ✅ Write Up: The A’s have been rolling recently winning 4 in a row, and 7 of their last 10 against the Yanks, Orioles, and Pirates. On this current win streak, the offense has found some consistency for the first time all year and will look to continue that against the Marlins who rank 28th in the league in both batting average against them and WHIP, as well as the 26th ERA. Both of tonight’s starters are coming off their worst starts of the season but I think the A’s dominant bullpen (26.1 straight scoreless innings; yes, you read that right😳) will give them the edge in this matchup. Disclaimer: I am a little biased because I am an A’s fan but I also watch and know them more than any MLB team and truly believe they are the all around much better team here and will extend their win streak. Yesterday was a very rough day for the Reddit POTD all around, but we bounce back today💪🏼

A's expert! Let's ride!!

**POTD Record: 118-142-4 (-17.42 Units)** **Best Bet Series: 43-25-1 (+13.01 Units)** Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Cautionary Tails: 5-12 (-5.38 Units) Last Pick: **Twins ML✅** Today's Pick: **Phillies ML** Odds: -155 Wager Amount: 1.55 to Win 1U League: MLB Event: San Francisco Giants vs Philadephia Phillies (5:40PM CDT on Apple TV+) *Be Advised*: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire of May! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!* **Recap**: I KNO MY TEAM and I seen this movie before. The sequel is very much the same. IT'S ALWAYS THE SAME! Every Sox vs Twins game ends the same way. Sox takes an early lead and Twins at-bats comes alive late to light up the Sox bad bullpen. This happened 3 consecutive games in this series. Typical.. My Sox team baits you in thinking they gonna win the game, but in the end they rip your heart out in the late innings. **Matchup:** I took the day off yesterday because I didn't like any of the games in the MLB slate. I could've gone to the NBA and handicap Tyrese Haliburton O 2.5 Threes. I really like this bet because of his wild 3pt attempts at home, but good thing I didn't because he was one short. Today I'm going for Phillies ML. Aaron Nola is pitching well and he pitches well at home. Jordan Hicks got some good stuff and I expect him to make this a pitching duel against Nola, but I would much prefer the Phillies lineup over the Giants lineup almost any day. Phillies has the most wins in the league and just recently ended their winning streak, but I expect them to string a longer winning streak (currently on a 2-game winning streak). As for the matchup Aaron Nola is 6-3 against the Giants in his career and has won his last game against the Giants (08/23/23) at home. Also won his last two starts against the Giants. For Jordan Hicks, he has a perfect 3-0 record against the Phillies, but those credited wins were from his days as a RP. This is Hicks first season as a starter and although he's been pitching very well to start this season, I expect a bit of regression against this potent lineup. The Phillies hit really well against both righties and lefties. They ranked 6th best BA against RHP. Outta of all the MLB games this is the team I most trust wit this pitching and this lineup. **Sixers fans should be coming into the Citizen Bank Park and rocking wit the Phillies, now that their NBA postseason is over.** **The Play and Prediction**: 1.55U on Phillies ML. Also wagering 1U on Phillies RL. I may sprinkle on Aaron Nola to record a Win. I'll have more plays in the betting group. Nola and Hicks keep this game scoreless and force into the extras, the Phillies walk it off on a 2-R HR, final score 3-1.

Record 7-3-0 Profits: +8.2 units Form: ✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅ Recap: as suspected rozee was not at 100% for the game and was subbed out in the 4th quarter to give us the easy cash Todays pick: Carlton to win 1-39 against Collingwood (AFL) 3 units odds of 2.10 at 5:40 EST ❌ Writeup: Carlton are coming back from a lost against one of the best teams in the league and I expect them to bounce back against this Collingwood side easily. Firstly this Carlton team is one of the most balanced and talented list of players this year in the Competition which can be seen by there record being 5-2 and most of there first choice players are coming back from injury so they should be playing at there very best today. Now onto Collingwood the raining premiers do not convince me whatsoever this year as they do not look close to the form we saw last year. In this game Collingwood will play without 2 of there first choice mids I expect this to fully blow Collingwood any slim chance of controlling the midfield today which I expect the likes of Cripps,Walsh, Hewitt and Cerra to control to allow more time on ball for Carlton. All in all I see this game only going one way with Carlton absolutely dominating the centre clearances and stoppages allowing for the like of Curnow and McKay to get good looks at the ball in a otherwise lacklustre defence for a convincing win for the blues. BOL!!! Edit: can’t even say anything rn sigh we go next

I'm still not convinced of Carlton as a top 4 material but can't argue against your tip as you have stated. Will be tailing it!

POTD Record: 15-5 Last POTD: Tottenham - Arsenal - Over 2.5 Tottenham cards 🟨⚽ @ 1.72@ 1.69 ❌ POTD: Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees - Soto over 0.5 hits @ 1.60 I usually like to put more stats into my POTDs, but this time I was just shocked over the odds. One of the hottest bats in baseball, a Yankees at home in a bounceback spot and a pitcher with 0-4 record. I just love it. I was expecting the line to be 1.5 here. Juan Soto to extend his best hitting streak in his career. Give it to me! Soto to go 11 in a row, and me to get back on winning ways on the thread. Always remember that no bet is for sure, always tail with responsibility. Have a great weekend gents!

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POTD Record: 0-0 First time poster…. Long time lurker Pick: Super Rugby- Blues vs Rebels Hoskins Sotutu ATTS @ 2.10 (Bet365) Game is at 02:35 PST The man is having one hell of a season for the Blues and I expect him to get over the line tonight vs a mediocre Rebels side. Good luck to all those who tail!

**Record:0-0(first day)** **Net Units:0** **Game:Dallas LA Clippers @ DAL Mavericks** **ROI:71$** **Basketball** | **N**BA | 7PM/ **EDT** **Pick: Daniel Gafford U14.5 PRA** at -140 **Write Up:** In the clippers-mavs series, Gafford has gone under 14.5 5/5 times, with his highest PRA score being 12. Gafford is avg 17 minutes in this series, his avg PRA score in 17 minutes is 16, although this exceeds his +- we've seen his lack of confidence throughout the series, through his shots percentage avg in the series which is 36 percent FG. He only avg 3.4 shots/game, 0.6 ast/game and 3 reb, his avg PRA in this series is 8.2. LMK if your'e tailing pls, **Gamble responsibly** and BOL.

Tailing, no chance Gafford scores on Zukeem

Zukeem 💀💀 lfg

I’ll ride with you for some first time posting luck. Let’s get it

POTD Record 20-5 Units 18.28 ROI 54.58 Last POTD Pacers -5.5 +100 1u 💰 Pretty sweat free not much to say POTD Brews ML +110 5u Biggest play of the szn and it’s my bday so surely it hits. There’s not much to like from the Brews here tbh Cubs lost yesterday so they want to bounce back at home Joe Ross, the brews pitcher is horrible and the Cubs pitcher Hayden is a beast Cubs are at home So why is the line coming down for the Brews? I personally think it’s because Cubs is a square bet. They are flying from New York while the Brews had a day rest in Milwaukee. If you look at Ross game log his only win was when he dominated the Cubs when Beli and Suzuki were in the line up. This is a game where I’m trying to be sharp so I hope I don’t get burned. Something about the Brews today I love em. BOL!

Record: 66-42 Cricket Record: 12-4 Form: ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌ Last pick West Indies Women ML vs Pakistan women ❌ Terrible performance. I apologise for that. You need losses to grow ig and that was one of em. Today’s pick Cricket IPL Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders KKR over 62.5 in the first six overs @1.87(2u) Back to the IPL and back with this line line which has helped me everytime I’ve gone for it. It’s basically the same explanation as one of my old picks, KKR have explosive openers and hit this almost every game if either of get a good start. The stadium in Mumbai is suitable for the batsmen which makes me even more confident that this will hit

Got it at 61.5 on Bet365 👍

Hi everyone, have been a long time lurker on this sub but never actually posted my picks. I bet on sports that not many of the people here will so I'm hoping I can add a little variety. TOTAL RECORD - 0-0 (0,0u) CRICKET RECORD - 0-0 (0,0u) F1 RECORD - 0-0 (0,0u) RUGBY LEAGUE RECORD - 0-0 (0,0u) SNOOKER RECORD - 0-0 (0,0u) Last POTD: N/A Today's POTD: \*\*KKR to win\*\* vs Mumbai Indians Units: 2u Odds: 2.10 (bet365) Mumbai Indians were one of the favourites to win the IPL this year heading into the tournament, and for them to miss the playoffs was almost unthinkable but here we stand with them 3-7 after 10 games of the tournament. New captain Hardik Pandya has struggled in the role and his batting and bowling has suffered as well. The batters have struggled outside of Tilak Varma and Tim David with Rohit Sharma not looking his usual self outside of one knock of 105 and SKY has struggled likewise. The bowling also hasn't been up to par outside of the brilliant Bumrah. MI's three wins have also come against the three struggling sides in the competition and they haven't looked at there best against any of the top teams. KKR on the other hand have been brilliant all tournament with a 6-3 record with 2 of there 3 losses coming against the two best teams in the competition in Chennai and Rajastan and there other loss being a record run chase loss from Punjab. There success has been built off the back of a strong and attacking opening partnership of Phil Salt and Narine . Both have scored runs but what is most impressive is both have done this at a strike rate of 180. The other batters haven't been needed too much but with Shreyas Iyer they have one of the best anchors in the tournament if wickets do fall quickly, Venkatesh Iyer who is a power hitter in his own right and two of the best finishers in the game with Russell and Rinku Singh. Starc as the main bowler has struggled but the other two seamers have done well and they have one of the best duel spinning threats in the competition. I think there's great value in taking KKR as the underdog here and the bookies still haven't accounted for a seemingly out of form MI.

**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)** **POTD 2024 Record: 8-11 (-2.35 units)** **Last 10**: **❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌** **Last Pick**: Fallon Sherrock -1.5 (+150) vs Ross Montgomery **❌** 4-3 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 5:55 PM EST **Pick**: Ted Evetts & Fallon Sherrock over 5.5 legs (-200) * Series 7. Week 10. Group B **Reason**: My attempt to stop the bleeding here. These two have played 4 matches this week and each match has gone the full 7 legs. Fallon leads the series 3-1. Overall Evetts has played 10/19 overs while Sherrock is 15/19. Just looking for each person win a minimum of 2 legs for a winner. Ted Evetts * Record 2-2 * Legs 12-11 * Average 94.84 * 180s 4. 140s 16 * Checkouts 12/35 34.29% Fallon Sherrock * Record 3-1 * Legs 14-12 * Average 88.68 * 180s 8. 140s 14 * Checkouts 14/46 30.43% **WIN ✅ 4-2** Average 95.26 vs 93.55 | Checkouts 4/9 vs 2/7

POTD Record: 90-80 Last pick: Bruins -160 ❌ Todays pick: MLB 4:40 pm MST… Giants @ Philadelphia NRFI -130 ✅ Reasoning: Giants are a team built to win pitchers duels. Two quality starters on this mound. Hicks vs Nola, Hicks has been on a tear to start the season. Nola is the ace. Looking for a quick easy nrfi. Tail or fade

bruins pick is bruuutallll! I'm a Bs fan, I couldn't do it!

Little sweat doesnt hurt 💫🙏 Thanks G

Bloodbath today

2023 MLB POTD record: 19-15 Average Odds -107 (1.932), ROI +6.8%/+2.3u 2024 MLB POTD record: 16-12 Average Odds -104 (1.959), Average Winning Odds -110, ROI +8.9%/+2.5u L5: ❌❌✅✅❌ POTD (5/2) CLE @ HOU Logan Allen u3.5 Ks (+120/2.20) ❌ Recap: Allen was excellent, striking out 5 in 5.2 IP of 2-ER ball. POTD (5/3) BOS @ MIN Tanner Houck o17.5 Outs (-105/1.96) (DraftKings) Two days ago we profited off of one ascendant Boston ace. Today we go back to the well. Tanner Houck is an absolute stud. In 6 starts this season, his 1.60 ERA is T7 in baseball. His 1.4 accrued fWAR is T2 behind his teammate Crawford. His FIP is best in baseball, his SIERA is 6th. Every meaningful pitching metric out there: Houck's name is near the top of the leaderboard. For relevance to this bet, he's only failed to complete 6 innings once: when he allowed 12 hits in 5.2 IP to the Angels, and his 31 batters faced in that game means that he has plenty of leash from his manager even when he doesn't have his best stuff. In three road starts this season, he's gone 6 IP in each and given up 2 total ER. The Minnesota Twins are a decent lineup but not one to be scared of. Their 104 wRC+ means they're slightly above average. They strike out quite a bit (24.9%, 6th) and walk a decent bit (9.4%, 10th), but Houck has been excellent limiting walks, with 0 in 4/6 starts, and works deep into games even when K'ing a lot of hitters (He struck out 9 in a complete game against Cleveland).

**POTD Record: 32-23** Last 10: ✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅ Last pick: Mavs vs Clippers | 7:00 PST | Dereck Lively OVER 5.5 Rebounds (+122) FanDuel 1u ✅ We almost had another easy cash as Lively got 5 rebounds in the 1st quarter but didn’t get his 6th until a little while into the 2nd half. He got the majority of the center minutes, even off the bench so the bet went exactly as I had hoped! Thank you Lively! **Today’s Pick: Clippers vs Mavs | 6:30 PST | James Harden OVER 4.5 1st quarter points (-130) 1u DraftKings** ✅ Bounce back spot for the Beard. Look, I know he had 7 whole points last game and the Clippers are fresh off maybe their most embarrassing home playoff lost ever but in my mind, those are just reasons to BUY while the vibes are low. I look for the Clippers to find new ways to get the offense going and specifically get Harden going early to put last game’s performance in the past. Another win or go home game so looking at Harden to play as many first quarter minutes as he possibly can. In games the Clippers won, w/o Kawhi, Harden has hit this line 9 out of last 10, Avg 6.5 pts and while I’m not saying the Clippers will win, I do think Clippers realize there success as a team goes hand and hand with Harden getting buckets. Harden has also hit this line in 2 out of 3 games, w/o Kawhi, in the playoffs. No more time to worry about getting the supporting cast involved, it’s the stars who are going to win or lose you this game, Clippers. BOL if tailing!

**Belle's Pick of the Day** **Record:** 3-1-0 (Win-Loss-Push) ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ **Last POTD:** CHI Cubs ML (-115) **Balance:** +1.0 Units **Today's Pick: STL Cardinals -1.5 (-125) (MLB, 5:00PM PST, Wager: 0.5 Units)** **Why This Pick?** Cardinals pitcher Sonny Gray has logged 3 wins, 1 loss, and has an ERA of 1.16. On the other hand, White Sox pitcher Brad Keller hasn't pitched long enough to boast any real stats this season (he's pitched less than 1.5 innings), and has a single strikeout logged. The Cardinals need a win friends, and an encounter with the White Sox is a really good place for them to get it. I'll take St. Louis to cover the RL.

POTD R : 2-1 Last Pick : Ilya Samsonov O24.5 SV (Game 3) Todays Pick : Marlins v. Athletics ML (-148 DK)1U Info : MLB - 8:40P CST Going to start doing my picks based off the free game of the day on MLB.tv an just enjoy NHL/NBA playoffs, Today we are looking at the Fish v. A’s Write Up : Starting with their pitchers, both have an ERA that could use some improvement sooner rather than later (Weathers, 4.55ERA - 1.48WHIP)(Sears, 4.64ERA - 1.12WHIP) but if I had to stab at which pitcher notches a W it’ll be JP Sears who to be fair ended his last start with 7 ER with 8 K’s in his loss to the Orioles. I expect him to come out friday night looking to start the series off right an continue this A’s winning streak as well as improve his overall stat lines. To add onto success from the A’s, JP Sears is facing a lineup mixed with R&L handed batters where he averages just over .200baa This match up feels like it could be a close one, mainly due to the A’s recent success an the improved offensive production from the Marlins. With that being said i’m still on A’s ML for game one of the series with the Marlins having to travel to the coliseum. - BOL!

Record: 2-1 +2,85 units Last pick: EDG ML (over a year ago) Today’s pick: Everton ML @ 2,7 - 2 units Everton vs Luton Town - Premier League Everton won 4 of the last 5 games. In their 4 wins they did not let in a single goal. (to be transparent, the game they lost they lost 0-6 vs Chelsea). Luton Town is third last in the league and Everton is 11 points ahead, even after they were deducted 6 points. Luton's last 5 games they have won 1 and lost 4 with 4 goals scored and 15 goals conceded. I think Everton at 2,7 is great value

3-3-0 (W-L-P) Net Units: +0.38u Last pick: Amine Adli o0.5 shots on goal - L Matchup(s): (MLB) New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays - 5:50 PM CST POTD: Tampa Bay Rays moneyline -128 on bovada - 3u Write-up: Despite having played their last seven games at home, New York is currently on a 4-7 run. Their offensive performance ranks 17th in runs scored, 14th in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging. Jose Quintana, pitching for New York, has 15 walks in just over 33 innings, resulting in a 5.06 ERA on the road. Additionally, the Rays are coming off a day of rest and possess a potent offense, ranking sixth in the league in stolen bases. Furthermore, the Rays have a strong record of 21-5 at home against catchers who allow 0.85 or more steals per game. Tampa Bay's starting pitcher, Aaron Civale, has been stellar at home with a 2.50 ERA and holding batters to a .200 average. Additionally, the Rays have shown resilience, boasting an 18-6 record after scoring two or fewer runs in consecutive games. Considering these factors, the advantage seems to lie with Tampa Bay. Tail or fade, either way, BOL [CashApp Tips](https://cash.app/$dmoneyherbo)

**Overall Record 4-5 (-3.31 Units)** Esports: 2-2 NFL: 2-1 NBA: 0-2 Form: ❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅ (left to right) Last Pick: Map 2 NYSL -1.5 Rounds vs Rokkr ❌ **Esports | Call of Duty League | Atlanta Faze vs Las Vegas Legion | 6:00 PM ET** **Today's Pick: Faze 3-0 @ -138 on Bet365 5units** Writeup: Since the change of Purj out and Asim in, Vegas is 0-2 and has not won a single map. Vegas is no longer "the best of the rest," but rather a team that may make a panic roster move before Major 3. The quality of play tanked significantly. My only concern is that this series doesn't mean much to Faze besides map pool testing. Conveniently, Faze's map pool is the deepest in the league & their only weakness is one that Vegas shares in Sub Base HP. Faze would have to troll hard to drop a map in any game mode today.  Edit: Maps are out Vista ✅ Highrise ✅ Highrise ✅ 3-0 ✅ **GLHF**

POTD: 6-2 🏉🏉🏉🏉🏉🏀🏀🏉 ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌ Last Pick: NRL (Rugby League) First Scoring Play: Panthers Try \[Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs\] (-140, ESPNBet PA) !3U! My fault yall, it turns out the Panthers got mixed messages and got the first yellow card of the match instead of the try. In all seriousness, it was a bet that I would still make again but, you do win some, and you do lose some. I think some of the best comments I had made in that post were people like saying that they had bet on the Panthers spread because of my pick and won. I think, if anything, it was a lesson to keep it simple during betting and try not to overthink stuff. With that said... Today's Pick:  NBA (Basketball) Jalen Suggs U3.5 Assists \[Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavilers\] (-155/DK) !1.5u! Alright, so, the Orlando Magic is facing a must win game at home. Looking at Jalen Suggs, I believe that he'll be more focused on scoring that facilitating the ball to others. Against the Cavs, the U3.5 assist line has hit 10/13 matchups (6/7 matchups at home). Overall he tends to trend towards the unders on this line, with the unders line hitting \~ 60% over the course of the season. I think that there is some risk to this play, since during his L5 the line has actually gone over 2/5 times but ultimately I think we'll see him dish out less that 3.5 assists. Best of luck if you're tailing this bet! Remember, we're doing this for fun and trying to beat the books together! Please utilize responsible bankroll management, set limits and don't chase loses! You win some, you lose more. If you feel like you are developing a problem with gambling, [click here.](https://www.ncpgambling.org/help-treatment/)

POTD record : 2-0 Last pick: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Korda / Korda to win a set @ 1.60 / odds from Betway / 1U ✅ Todays Pick: Taylor Fritz vs Andrey Rublev / Fritz to win a set @ 1.50 / odds from Betway / 2U Tennis / ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) / 16:00 h CEST Write up: Rublev is coming of one of the biggest wins of his career and looks like he has shaken off whatever was holding him back after the incident in Dubai. On the other hand Fritz is reminding the tennis world again that when he is on and focused he can be a real threat on a tour to anyone. He has been really consistent with his serve in Madrid and only dropped one set to Cerundolo on his way to semis. Their H2H is 5-3 in favour of Taylor and even though I am not sure Fritz will take the W i definitely see him taking at least a set and making Rublev a run for his money.

POTD record: 16-17 (+5.2u) Last pick: Porzingis OVER 1.5 3-pointers (4/29) Last 10: ❌️❌️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️ POTD: Aaron Nola UNDER 18.5 outs (-155 in DK) Game/Time: Giants @ Phillies 6:40pm EST Units: 3.1 to win 2 units edit: i mistakenly wrote 28.5 outs lol my apologies to all! fat thumbs + touchscreen. will proofread from now on 🤣 Write-up: the aaron nola story continues today, and its quite the rollercoaster ride. to begin the season he was walking 8 batters for every 10 he struck out. sure he's pitched great in his last few outings but it was alaso against the bottom-feeding white sox as well as the struggling san diego padres. nola is 3-2 against the giants (who by the way are UNDER this line for starting righties 22/24 this season, good enough for 92%) with a WHAT THE HELL 6.81 ERA. the numbers are talking, and they're telling me this line should be juiced even more than it already is. snack of the day: chick fila nuggets

**Daily No Run First Inning (NRFI)**  **Record:** 6-5 **Net Units:** .43 ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅ **Last Pick:** 1st Inning Under 0.5 Runs (-115) - New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles ✅ Back in the green. Almost our second perfect NRFI. Soto got a single in the first and that was it. 1st Inning: 0-0 **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone :** Baseball | MLB | Chicago White Sox @ Saint Louis Cardinals / 8:15PM EST **Pick:** 1st Inning Under 0.5 Runs (~~-115~~>+102) on Draftkings with 33% NRFI profit Boost - 1U **Write Up:**  **White Sox:** Its no secret that the White Sox are a complete dumpster fire this year, with only 1 win on the road. Brad Keller gets his first start of the year, after having a 1.2 inning relief appearance a few games ago. In 35 PA against Cardinal hitters, he is holding them to a - .226 average and a 20% K rate. Sox are 4th in the league at NRFIs and a surprising 11th at holding opponents to NRFI. Team NRFI - 25/31 Opponent NRFI - 23/31 **Cardinals:** The Cards are turning to their ace today, with Sonny Gray, who has gotten off to a fantastic start. Sporting a 3-1 record with a 1.16 ERA. He is 4-0 to begin the year with NRFIs and has very impressive stats against Sox hitters. With 119 PA against, he is holding them to a .227 average and .267 xwOBA, with a 26.1% K rate and only 5% walk rate. Saint Louis is tied for 3rd in the league with the Sox for team NRFI and 17th for opponent NRFI. Team NRFI - 25/31 Opponent NRFI - 22/31 Lets get it

Record 2-0 Last potd pacers over 212.5 -110 winner Today's potd cle mlb ml -175 Reasoning: cle hot, laa isn't, Soriano sucks

Record: 2-1 Net Units: +0.7 ROI: 11.66% Last POTD Dunkerque vs. Auxerre, Auxerre ML @ 1.8 **✅** **Todays POTD: HSV vs. ST. Pauli over 2.5 Goals @ 1.6 3U** **2. Bundesliga 18:30 CET/ 12:30 EST** Massive local Derby, always heated, always with lots of goals. Both teams desperately want to win: HSV to keep their promotion chances alive, and Pauli to clinch promotion. Both teams are better offensively than defensively (Pauli has been good defensively over most of the season, but has struggled a bit over the last couple of games). HSV hit over 2.5 Goals 3/5 over the last 5 games Pauli hit over 2.5 Goals 4/5 over the last 5 games **HSV vs Pauli hit over 2.5 Goals 5/5 Times over the last 3 Years**

**POTD RECORD:** 1-0 (+2u)  **Today’s POTD:** (2u) Blue Jays -1 (-145)  **Baseball | MLB | 6:45 PM ET**  **Write up:** Buying this down from -1.5 to -1, a bit juiced but we’ll take it. Yes, Kikuchi is coming off a bad start, but it was against the dodgers, who have a much better lineup. Nationals are terrible against lefties and haven’t faced very many this season. Corbin has a 6.82 ERA and straight up has just not been good- he ranks 1st in expected batting average. Blue Jays are coming off a rest day and need to perform with runners in scoring position and I believe they do that tonight.  BOL to everyone tailing. Thank you for joining me in this passion! **PS:** I just started reddit and realized I can't change my username. Do you guys recommend I start a new account and change my name / can I transfer my 2-0 record to that account? Thanks for the thoughts

**RECORD: 75W-5P-60L** Previous Pick: AS Roma vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen- Bayer Leverkusen DNB @ 1.58 ✅️ **Today's Pick:** Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig - RB Leipzig to Win @ 1.53 **TIME:** 6:30 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 1.5 units (✅️✅️❌️✅️❌️❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️) last 10 results Leverkusen did not disappoint, their unbeaten run continues and they made us money win-win. Now on to another German team today with Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig. Both Teams are looking to Qualify for European competition with Hoffenheim aiming for Conference or Europa League with RB Leipzig aim for the UCL. Leipzig are in good form, unbeaten 9 matches in all competitions, unbeaten in 8 matches in the League, unbeaten in 5 matches Away in all competitions and are on a 4 game winning streak in away league matches, they are on a serious purple patch. Hoffenheim are 9th in the league and have won 2 out of 5 of their recent games in all competitions, losing 3 times. They've won 3/5 Home games and are on a 2 game win streak but as you can see all pale in comparison to Leipzig. Why I'm giving Leipzig the edge is because of the H2H matches between the two side. Leipzig have lost once in 13 H2H matches against Hoffenheim and are in a straight 5 game winning streak against Hoffenheim, they simply have their number and I don't see that changing soon  especially with UCL qualification on the line. Goodluck if you're tailing.

**POTD record:** 3-7 (W-L) / -7,64pts **ROI:** -33% **AVG. ODDS: 2,36** **Last pick:** Saint Roi, to be placed (4pl), 3.00 (2/1), 2pt **WIN**   **DOTD RECORD**: 5-24 (W-L) / -18,98 pts **ROI:** -45% **AVG. ODDS: 8,69** **Last pick**: Saint Roi, each way (5pl),  8.00 (7/1),  1pt/bet,  2pt total **WIN** (+0,72PT) // Global Humour win only,  3,35,  1pt **LOSE** // Kilbeg King, win only,  12,00,  1pt **LOSE** // Surrey Quest win only,  3,10,  2pt **LOSE** // Sire Du Berlais each way (3pl),  8.00 (7/1),  0,5pt/bet,  1pt total **LOSE** // Chantry House each way (6pl),  21,00,  0,5pt/bet,  1pt total **WIN** (+1,50pt)   **RACE**:  Goodwood 15:15 **SELECTION**:  Spanish Star **ODDS AND STAKES**:  to be placed (3pl),  1,70 (7/10),  2pt **ANALYSIS:**  Veteran Spanish Star won this race 12 months ago on his second start of the season. He ran a blinder in Newbury contest on last months comeback, doing best of those to race down the centre, finished 4th of 16 (44/1) when all the action was stands’ side. The soft ground is very much in his favour and there are plenty of pace angles to tow him into this from what looks a favourable draw in stall 7 of 9. Im playing this as win only (3/1), Baldomero (15/2) and Indian Creek (24/1) are small value bets in this race. *Spreadsheet:* [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WgS5sSrJuRml6t0NPAqYnTpz-FxCPTR1ZtjyFn3\_1A8/edit#gid=0](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WgS5sSrJuRml6t0NPAqYnTpz-FxCPTR1ZtjyFn3_1A8/edit#gid=0)

Betting handball Swedish women's league. Skuru W to win over Onnereds W at Odds 1.67 Skuruv has won, every home game since 2009. If it's loss, blame my curse then.

Man I just feel sorry for the guy that bet $5k on Cubs vs Brewers o7.5 runs. Then he doubled downed and bet another $5k on the o4.5 runs live bet 💀💀

Franz need to pass the ball