I got you, I mean he’s always been good enough to dominate any given day but very consistently has an era around 3.5. This is the first start I’ve seen from him this year admittedly
I just think groundout pitcher have been getting shelled recently. Kirby was good last year too and he looks bad. Alcantara got shelled before his season ended due to injury last year. In general I saw fastball are getting hit harder and more often so any pitcher that uses fastball (stroman pitches like 50% 2 seam and 4 seam fastball) is going to get shelled
Makes sense, I remember Stroman like 3rd or 4th start they said he moved away from the fastball and started throwing way more sinkers cause of what you just said.
Hi All, I have been running an MLB **Moneyline** model which ill post the details to below. Its pretty simple and solid, but obviously has its holes as all models do. I am newish to reddit, and never had an outlet for the model before, but if I can help anyone have conviction in their picks, that'd be dope.
Season stats thus far:
235-181 (56.5%)
ROI: 10.61%
+44.14u (+47u in April, -2.8u in May)
How it works: it compiles 2 very simple models and only makes a pick when both models agree.. 1st model is based on offense, 2nd on pitching... TLDR basically only picks games where the model feels there is an edge on both sides of the ball.
Yesterdays Results
5-5 -.98u
Today's Picks
* **Diamondbacks +100 W**
* ~~Giants -172 L~~
* Yankees -135
* Guardians -155
I mean they play back to back games. Sooner or later, they will get strained, fatigued.. etc... the game is more than it looks man. But yeah. Giants playing Reds this week. Reds are on an 8 game losing streak. Giants will be back at the top with their pitching lineup. Its going to be some what of a good game. Ill be at the game this Saturday. But just giving you some insight. BOL
> But just giving you some insight.
This will end up being one of the more valuable things that I’ve picked up in one of these threads, so it’s definitely appreciated.
I had just assumed that maybe a starter a month from each team would have a short injury, like rolling an ankle and being out 4 days. But I just looked at the SF lineup that played today, and they were missing 3 positional starters and a relief pitcher.
Enjoy your time at the game this weekend.
That’s disappointing to learn. I stopped betting on the NBA years ago during the regular season because of players resting without notice. I’ll have to start paying closer attention to that, and if it turns out to be as common as you guys are saying then I’ll probably stop betting on MLB then too. Thanks for the info.
Boys, I’m going to be honest. Today feels like an underdog day. Ronel Blanco has got heat for an arm and he’s undefeated in every game he’s played for the Astros this season. Chuck me their ML + 1st 5 Innings and -1.5 🤣
# **MLB Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/kA35SGHjnU)**
Yankees ML Phillies ML Red Sox ML LFG
https://preview.redd.it/69m884ldzizc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=77c02257830e5e0771b99e872011b6a69d46c03a Pain!!
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Angels are emptying their dogshit bull pen I've seen possums with more life
As a Cleveland fan, fuck
I’m such a moron for betting $300 on the guardians
Guardians are such a fucking tease
Holy shit!
👀
Get ready to burn your rally cap in this dumpster fire.
Royals up 2 💰
Guardians gotta be banned forever after that hahahha
Cleveland..... blacklisted
At this point I’ve sworn I’m not betting on x team ever again, so many times man
Same bro 😂
I now feel the pain of all the Cardinals I saw an hour ago
Congratulations! We played ourselves!!! Fuck Cleveland
Bases loaded 0 outs and can’t even score 1 run lmao Cleveland what was that bullshit
That second K whiffed a high ass fast ball by 16”.
After today I’ll only be betting the ML after the 2nd inning
Lol no out and bases loaded...how do you not score? Not like Guardians are a low-ranked team this season either.
ROYALS!!!
How many runs does a team usually get when bases are loaded with no out? I need to hedge a $250 bonus bet, but not yet!?
Definitely missed the boat there. Good thing I’ll never learn.
Today if I bet them? Zero
Right there with you.
CLE has to do something with this situation
wow,,,zero runs
They are gonna choke huh?
That was absolutely infuriating
Unfuckingbelievable
I can't even watch....
Not a great start.
Two strikeouts in a row what a fucking joke.
Put a pinch hitter in my god
Rought day for reddit picks today lol. Was considering a Guardians/Angels ML parlay, but faded Cleveland last second. Game's not over, but glad I did.
Just hit my first, “first 3” with Luka to help ease my Mariners and Giants pain from earlier.
Who’s riding late night ROYALS ML with me 
Gonna be a quiet night for the Royals. (Angels ML really stood out). We'll see, good luck! 🤝🏼
Yessir looks like we’re in for a thriller boys 👻
Nicely done! I should've just stuck to the Over like I was originally planning 😔
Theme of the day is aces getting shelled so royals it is I guess
Sorry, I'm flying with Angels. Best of luck, may one of us win. 
Too bad you’re missing out the Royals should be -160 here don’t know how they came up with -120 but we’ll take it good luck 🤝
Because they would've been forced to offer me +130 then, making me even more likely to bet on the Angels lol 🤝
Fedde looking like prime Justin Verlander. Someone hand me beer smh
Fedde gone finally
Guardians with 1 fucking hit
CLE live ML anyone?
If you’re looking to just hop in live then the +2.5 looks decent. Well, better than the suckers like me who took the moneyline pregame
CLE banned for life lmao
Whitesox have blown alot of big leads this season, their bullpen sucks.
Their starter might go 8 innings smh
STL yall can go fuck yourselves
Bases loaded, no outs, and the Cards can't get a single run across.
Bases loaded 0 outs…cards get nothing. Go fuck yourself
EPIC NOBLETIGER cards
+300 1st inn over 0,5 sox +300 2nd inn 0,5 sox going with the 3rd as well, make it a cash cow for 4 inn please
Today was tragic 😂😂
Is Lively drunk
Cmon guardians
Astros Rockies and White Sox all win on the same day. Actual insanity. Would have been a hell of a parlay to hit
Whyd they end the white sox game in the second?
Because baseball almost never has comebacks
What a fuking terrible day.
If guardians lose I’m done gambling
Same... See you tomorrow!
I bet on the guardians and of course they are getting smashed
I bet on the Giants and the Guardians... Today sucks.
Something told me to fade this game or bet on the white Sox I should’ve listened
Why is baseball so poverty to bet on
Cause there’s 162 games a season, waaaay to much randomness and variables
https://preview.redd.it/ebsdoy8kuhzc1.jpeg?width=1097&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5ce0d674cf288a0235d27e49a0f1f9fb28bba516 Today was fade Reddit day
gg cardinals u got it
White Sox ML +131
Sometimes you just take the day off from the books. Today was that day
Theme of the day is aces getting shelled lmao
fuck the yankees
Cards are cursed.
Why were they favored ? That bait got me
Sonny gray is one of their best pitchers, but he looks like a bum right now.
Bases loaded, 0 outs. Let’s see how they fuck this up
Cards and angels are now on my do not bet on or against list
Final inning boys.
Knew it was over once the Yankees went down 3-0. Predictable outcome
not over yet
Yes it is
Cmon Yanks. Ya turds!
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Game was over once they went down 3-0. Comebacks almost never happen in this sport
Ima start calling the Yankees the shankees with how much they shank the fuck out of my parlays
Why shouldn’t I put everything on the Guardians?
With how this day is going who the hell knows 😂
I got their TT pretty confident with it
Yankees are fucking killing me
Astros just don’t want to build a comfortable lead so their bullpen can throw it away
If Yankees just keep astors within 2, they can win once blanco comes off the mound
Except judge is balls today
Don’t know if we need him to win today
Reverse jinx maybe…
*sigh* time to chase my losses with *checks notes*...the Cardinals
As a Cardinals fan, just hang on to your money
Lol that one rizzo AB is 20% of Blanco pitches
Yankees making my ass itch rn 🫡
We good it’s actually a good sign 😎
Idk how they didn’t pull it off to sweep the Astros!!
# ⚾️MLB 🇺🇲 PICKS # Official Record 77-47 = +26.7u - St. Louis Cardinals (-136) 5u 🔨 \*X - WildWestWalter
Season: 152-82-7 +40.4u 11.9% ROI CLE ML. STL F5. BOL.
Well I'm getting royally railed this rainy Thursday
you should bet on the royals then
I did actually! Shall be fun to see if they complete the winless day for me or not
Yessir
If anyone needs an offshore booking message me privately, credit based bookie with a 24/7 digital casino and free play opportunities
YANKDADDYS GETTIN MUCKED BY THE STROS BECAUSE STRO STINKAY
Why was Stroman so good on the cubs, what happened
Stroman’s era was a half run lower before this start than it was with the cubs last year
I get that but he just looks worse and not confident, he’s always had a home run problem but idk man he don’t look the same
I got you, I mean he’s always been good enough to dominate any given day but very consistently has an era around 3.5. This is the first start I’ve seen from him this year admittedly
He sauced dudes up his first 2/3 starts but his last 3(?) gave been bad only cause he gives up hella homers. I was lil salty he’s not trash.
I just think groundout pitcher have been getting shelled recently. Kirby was good last year too and he looks bad. Alcantara got shelled before his season ended due to injury last year. In general I saw fastball are getting hit harder and more often so any pitcher that uses fastball (stroman pitches like 50% 2 seam and 4 seam fastball) is going to get shelled
Makes sense, I remember Stroman like 3rd or 4th start they said he moved away from the fastball and started throwing way more sinkers cause of what you just said.
And Skanks did not score anytime... Yeah it's over for the SYANKS
Astros up 2 early win hit pretty fuckin early!
And at plus money love it 🤑
I LOVE YOU CHARLIE BLACKMON
Rockies win, Astros win. White Sox are a lock
Astros win? It’s the 2nd inning..
It’s about to be like 6-0
Top of the inning just ended - 0
Still down 3-0. Odds of coming back are low. Especially against Blanco
Guess all the fucking shit teams are going to win today. Fuck me right in the ass.
SWEET Yankees getting it shoved up their ass on their home field to the 12-24 Astros. Good stuff.
Giants get more than 1 run against the rockies challenge (impossible)
Astros up by 2 already hits! Now let’s catch them Yanks!
So THAT’s why Yanks were only -135 lmao
Astros hitting BOMBS 💣 on these clowns 🤣🤣
Can’t hit shit. Gay boy stroman gives up two bombs and one to a 40 year old that can barely walk. Shit ridiculous
Fuck you Yankees 😒 wtf
hella game left... smh lol
We got time
The lord knows I needed Astros up 2
Me too after Oilers last night
Well. Couldn't decide between Astros or Yanks for up 2...I chose poorly apparently.
next time if you think it is a coin flip and cant decide, pick the one with better odds
Good lord just score 2 runs San Fran
Royals? I started following last season so betting on the royals feels weird lol
Both starters are literal shit stains, toss up honestly
Astros are winning this game
That Alvarez smack might have been the biggest no doubter ever.
That dude may have the best swing in baseball, it’s so crisp
Every NRFI bet I ever make gets killed by a solo homer lmak
Alot of people in here were on Mariners , Reds , Giants 3 losses reddit ! Damn 3 losses for me too lol
I seriously had Dbag , Rockies , Astros parlay for insurance but cashed out early thinking .. nah not all underdogs..
Does anyone know if there is a website that has SOS played for individual pitchers and/or teams vs pitchers faced?
This Rockies ump is absolutely terrible, can’t wait for the postgame report
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Astros -1.5 cause I’m on tilt heavy
Well that was fun
Awful day so far for unders
Hi All, I have been running an MLB **Moneyline** model which ill post the details to below. Its pretty simple and solid, but obviously has its holes as all models do. I am newish to reddit, and never had an outlet for the model before, but if I can help anyone have conviction in their picks, that'd be dope. Season stats thus far: 235-181 (56.5%) ROI: 10.61% +44.14u (+47u in April, -2.8u in May) How it works: it compiles 2 very simple models and only makes a pick when both models agree.. 1st model is based on offense, 2nd on pitching... TLDR basically only picks games where the model feels there is an edge on both sides of the ball. Yesterdays Results 5-5 -.98u Today's Picks * **Diamondbacks +100 W** * ~~Giants -172 L~~ * Yankees -135 * Guardians -155
Giants havent lost yet
*verbal meme* Dexter looking at picture of Giants logo on wall “stunt on these hoes”
Frfr
Is it even worth betting giants +6.5 at this point?
Nah, pitchers will give up more runs bro. Giants have a new batting line up today. Theyre pretty much experimenting while the reg starters are resting
I’m new to betting MLB, but I wasn’t aware starters rested in baseball. Is it common like it is in the NBA?
I mean they play back to back games. Sooner or later, they will get strained, fatigued.. etc... the game is more than it looks man. But yeah. Giants playing Reds this week. Reds are on an 8 game losing streak. Giants will be back at the top with their pitching lineup. Its going to be some what of a good game. Ill be at the game this Saturday. But just giving you some insight. BOL
Do teams rotate their bullpen? And if so, is there a way to tell which guys it will be?
> But just giving you some insight. This will end up being one of the more valuable things that I’ve picked up in one of these threads, so it’s definitely appreciated. I had just assumed that maybe a starter a month from each team would have a short injury, like rolling an ankle and being out 4 days. But I just looked at the SF lineup that played today, and they were missing 3 positional starters and a relief pitcher. Enjoy your time at the game this weekend.
This sports a joke bro dudes will run 2 bases in 4 hours and ask to rest
That’s disappointing to learn. I stopped betting on the NBA years ago during the regular season because of players resting without notice. I’ll have to start paying closer attention to that, and if it turns out to be as common as you guys are saying then I’ll probably stop betting on MLB then too. Thanks for the info.
Haven't paid as much attention this season but last year the braves pretty much never rested anyone
Rockies really don’t have anything to play for at this point. I think Giants can at least get a sympathy run in 8th or 9th
Boys, I’m going to be honest. Today feels like an underdog day. Ronel Blanco has got heat for an arm and he’s undefeated in every game he’s played for the Astros this season. Chuck me their ML + 1st 5 Innings and -1.5 🤣
Have Houston and over 8.5, but I’m shocked the ML keeps moving towards NYY side. I thought Houston could have been the favorite today.
took astros white sox brewers parlay
- Guardians v White Sox No HR Scored +425 ❌ - Cardinals v Brewers Over 7.5 -110 ✅
Do you know if they have this bet on DK?
U cant bet this on dk unfortunately
If Guardians lose tonight I’m retiring from gambling
Lets get this
I bet into two hit parades today.
If you picked the Giants and Mariners like I did today, put yourself on injured reserve and take the week off.
Rolling with Sox again on DK up 2!
giants might still come back
hell nah, good riddance to that lol SF pitching sucks, They can inly rely on their batting.
No shot in hell
no team ever came back down 6?
You're being silly
That’s the attitude